SA 07/07/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 55

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 20

Stocks above 40PMA: 52%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 268

Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: Up trend

$SQQQ: No trend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Downtrend

$GLD: No trend

$SLV: No trend

$SLX: No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $HACK +3.08%
  • $TAN +2.17%
  • $SMH +2.03%
  • $XLK +1.65%
  • $IGV +1.30%
  • $XTL +1.13%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $RTH -1.10%
  • $XLV -1.09%
  • $XLP -1.05%
  • $XLU -1.01%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLK

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $KRE $JETS
  • Lagging – $TAN $IGV

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Themes:

Semiconductors
Cybersecurity
Biotech
South Korea
China Tech
Small caps
Cloud Computing
Emerging Markets
Software
Memory

Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:

AI Infrastructure & Power Supercycle — Top 15 + ETFs

TickerCompany NameSector / IndustryMkt CapYTD ReturnKey CatalystAnalyst Consensus / Avg PT
NVDANVIDIA CorporationSemiconductors / GPU AI Compute~$3.3T+14–22%Vera Rubin NVL72 rack H2 2026; FY2027 guidance; GB300 volume rampStrong Buy / $185
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semiconductors / Custom ASIC + Networking~$950B+51%Q2 FY26 rev $22.2B (+48% YoY); AI rev +143%; Google TPU partnership to 2031Strong Buy / $250
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg.Semiconductor Foundry~$1.1T+46%May rev +30% YoY; US fab expansion; AI accelerator CAGR 54–56% through 2029Buy / $240
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemiconductors / GPU + CPU~$330B+130%MI450/MI500 roadmap; OpenAI + Oracle partnerships; Helios rack-scale systemsBuy / $230
INTCIntel CorporationSemiconductors / Foundry + Server CPU~$480B+197%18A node HVM production; MSFT + Qualcomm customers; Apple partnership rumorHold/Upgrade Watch / $90
MRVLMarvell TechnologySemiconductors / Networking + Custom Silicon~$275B+65%S&P 500 inclusion; custom AI ASIC acceleration; data center networking TAMBuy / $120
MUMicron TechnologySemiconductors / DRAM + HBM Memory~$135B+40%HBM3E ramp for Blackwell GPUs; DRAM supply shortage; Morgan Stanley top pickBuy / $180
SNDKSanDisk CorporationSemiconductors / Flash Memory Storage~$60B+464%AI storage demand explosion; training dataset flash; record gross marginsBuy / $1,600+
VRTVertiv HoldingsData Center Power & Cooling Infrastructure~$50B+55%$15B revenue backlog; 800V DC architecture co-developed with NVDA; Malaysia facility expansionBuy / $150
GEVGE VernovaPower Generation / Grid Infrastructure~$130B+70%+Q1 data center orders $2.4B (exceeded all 2025); Q2 earnings late July; orders +71%Buy / $1,250
EQIXEquinix Inc.Data Center REIT~$90B+20%507K+ global interconnections; AI colocation demand; Q2 earnings catalystBuy / $1,000
ANETArista NetworksData Center Networking / Ethernet~$130B+35%Tomahawk 6 switchip deployment; hyperscaler AI cluster connectivity; Q2 earningsBuy / $420
GLWCorning IncorporatedOptical Fiber / Data Center Connectivity~$45B+74%$6B Meta deal + 2 additional hyperscaler contracts; optical comms rev +36% YoYBuy / $80
BEBloom EnergyPower / Fuel Cell Energy for Data Centers~$15B+198%2.8 GW Oracle partnership; fast deployment vs turbines; power bottleneck playBuy / $50
CRWVCoreWeave Inc.AI Cloud / GPU Compute-as-a-Service~$50B+90%+$5.13B ARR triple-digit growth; MSFT anchor tenant; 1,210 MW 2027 expansion
SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETFETF — AI Semiconductor Basket+54.7%NVDA 19.4%, TSM 11.6%, AVGO 7.7% top weights; broadest semi exposure
SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETFETF — Philadelphia Semiconductor Index+54%All-time high April 24; 30-stock index; more equal-weighted than SMH
DTCRGlobal X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETFETF — Data Center REITs + Infrastructure+28%EQIX, DLR, VRT, ANET holdings; direct AI factory infrastructure exposure

What type of market are we in: Choppy

Are breakouts working: Selectively

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to the 50s but conditions remain choppy

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