Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 16
Stocks above 40PMA: 54
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 252
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: Downtrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: Downtrend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$JETS +1.30%
$TAN +1.22%
$KRE +1.04%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$HACK -2.67%
$XTL -2.06%
$SMH -1.59%
$JETS -1.19%
$XLK -1.11%
$XLU -1.03%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLB $XLP
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $SMH
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, less is more in these conditions, earnings season is getting into full swing no so will offer some opportunities.
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 7
Stocks above 40PMA: 52%
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 199
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: Downtrend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$HACK +4.58%
$TAN +3.78%
$SMH +2.51%
$XLK +1.29%
$IGV +1.00%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$XLV -1.93%
$XLP -1.38%
$JETS -1.19%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLE $XLP
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $TLT
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 65k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, less is more in these conditions, earnings season is getting into full swing no so will offer some opportunities.
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -1
Stocks above 40PMA: 53%
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 199
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: Downtrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$XLE +3.01%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$SMH -4.16%
$TAN -3.35%
$JETS -2.71%
$XLK -2.42%
$XTL -1.93%
$IBB -1.31%
$XLY -1.02%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLE $XLB
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $TLT
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to the high teens but expecting to conditions remain choppy. Less is more in these conditions, banks start reporting today before the open and the CPI report which will likely dictate the market today.
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -15
Stocks above 40PMA: 50%
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 239
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: No trend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$HACK +2.78%
$SMH +2.48%
$XTL +2.23%
$XLK +2.18%
$JETS +1.95%
$IYT +1.84%
$KRE +1.79%
$IGV +1.51%
$TAN +1.50%
$XLY +1.34%
$XLF +1.04%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$XLP -1.41%
$XLE -1.40%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLE $XLB
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $IGV
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech South Korea China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure & Power Supercycle — Top 15 + ETFs
All-time high April 24; 30-stock index; more equal-weighted than SMH
—
DTCR
Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF
ETF — Data Center REITs + Infrastructure
—
+28%
EQIX, DLR, VRT, ANET holdings; direct AI factory infrastructure exposure
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to the high teens but expecting to conditions remain choppy. Less is more in these conditions, earnings season starting soon which should help find direction & some good setups.
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -40
Stocks above 40PMA: 48%
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 195
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: Downtrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: No trend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$SMH +1.99%
$XLE +1.76%
$XLK +1.24%
$XTL +1.03%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$XLB -2.62%
$KRE -2.30%
$JETS -2.21%
$XLF -1.93%
$XLY -1.78%
$IGV -1.75%
$XLV -1.30%
$TAN -1.22%
$XLI -1.07%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLV
Lagging – $XLE $XLK
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $IGV
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech South Korea China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure & Power Supercycle — Top 15 + ETFs
All-time high April 24; 30-stock index; more equal-weighted than SMH
—
DTCR
Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF
ETF — Data Center REITs + Infrastructure
—
+28%
EQIX, DLR, VRT, ANET holdings; direct AI factory infrastructure exposure
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to the 20s but expecting to conditions remain choppy. Less is more in these conditions, earnings season starting soon which should help find direction.
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 3
Stocks above 40PMA: 52%
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 238
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: No trend
$BTC: Up trend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: No trend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$XLE +2.84%
$XLV +1.53%
$IBB +1.50%
$XLK +1.65%
$IGV +1.30%
$XTL +1.13%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$TAN -4.74%
$SMH -3.78%
$JETS -2.49%
$XLK -2.39%
$XTL -2.28%
$XLI -1.71%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLV
Lagging – $XLE $XLK
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $KRE $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $SMH
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 62k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech South Korea China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure & Power Supercycle — Top 15 + ETFs
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 20
Stocks above 40PMA: 52%
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 268
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: No trend
$BTC: Up trend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: No trend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$HACK +3.08%
$TAN +2.17%
$SMH +2.03%
$XLK +1.65%
$IGV +1.30%
$XTL +1.13%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$RTH -1.10%
$XLV -1.09%
$XLP -1.05%
$XLU -1.01%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLV
Lagging – $XLE $XLK
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $KRE $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $IGV
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech South Korea China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure & Power Supercycle — Top 15 + ETFs
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 19
Stocks above 40PMA: 51%
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 387
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: No trend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: Downtrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: No trend
$GLD: Downtrend
$SLV: Downtrend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$IGV +3.02%
$XLF +2.18%
$HACK +2.07%
$KRE +1.78%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$SMH -5.40%
$XLK -2.57%
$TAN -2.28%
$XTL -1.27%
$XLU -1.26%
$TLT -1.04%
$XLI -1.01%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLV
Lagging – $XLE $XLK
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $KRE $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $IGV
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 60k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors
Infrastructure
Small caps
Homebuilders
Mid caps
Banks
Regional Banks
Biotech
Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
Top 15 AI Power Infrastructure Stocks
Ticker
Company
Sector/Industry
Market Cap
YTD Return
Key Catalyst
Analyst Consensus (PT)
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
Power Equipment/Electrification
~$280B
+63–65%
$163B backlog; Q1 data center orders > all of 2025
Strong Buy (~$1,206–1,424)
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
Heavy Equipment/Power Generation
~$414B
+53–56%
Power Gen revenue +41% on data center demand; record backlog
Are breakouts working: Selectively, a lot of failed breakouts in Tech
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to 100 further pull back in the coming days. Markets are closed tomorrow expect a slow day coming in to the long weekend in the US.
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 14
Stocks above 40PMA: 51%
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 331
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: No trend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: Downtrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: No trend
$GLD: Downtrend
$SLV: Downtrend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$SMH +3.78%
$XLK +2.76%
$TAN +2.69%
$HACK +2.34%
$XLI +1.35%
$XTL +1.15%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$XLP -1.54%
$XLU -1.48%
$XLV -1.29%
$TLT -1.18%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLI
Lagging – $XLE $XLY
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $IGV
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 59k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors
Infrastructure
Small caps
Homebuilders
Mid caps
Banks
Regional Banks
Biotech
Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
Top 15 AI Power Infrastructure Stocks
Ticker
Company
Sector/Industry
Market Cap
YTD Return
Key Catalyst
Analyst Consensus (PT)
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
Power Equipment/Electrification
~$280B
+63–65%
$163B backlog; Q1 data center orders > all of 2025
Strong Buy (~$1,206–1,424)
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
Heavy Equipment/Power Generation
~$414B
+53–56%
Power Gen revenue +41% on data center demand; record backlog
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study is over 100 so expect a pull back in the coming days. Also be aware markets are closed on Friday.