Entry price – 54.27
SL – 51.5
Risk – 2.77
Time of entry – 14:08 BST
21 ADR – 3.16
Catalyst / setup – Thematic, super cycle, bullish earnings in the sector and bullish breadth increasing, this is a ETF to give me broad cover in the sector
Result – Trade still running
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 8
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 2
Stocks above 40PMA: 52
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 345
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: Uptrend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
2%- sectors yesterday:
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish digestion
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study closed at 113 over bought conditions working off ready for the next leg. Focus EP9 & SIPs with strong cats. 10 day breadth ratio closed over 2 for the 1st time since early June.
Todays watchlist: None at the moment
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 7
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market -normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -6
Stocks above 40PMA: 51
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 283
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: Uptrend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
2%- sectors yesterday:
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish digestion
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study closed at 129 suggests we are over bought conditions working off ready for the next lef. Focus EP9 & SIPs with strong cats.
Todays watchlist: $DRAM $QQQ $NOK $MSTR
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 6
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -15
Stocks above 40PMA: 51
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 224
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: Uptrend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
2%- sectors yesterday:
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study closed at 173 suggests we are in a bullish market but over bought in the short term. Focus EP9 & SIPs with strong cats.
Todays watchlist: $KORU $CRCL
Entry price – Trade 1: 495.05, Trade 2: 496.43
SL – Trade 1: 498.25, Trade 2: 500.25
Risk – Trade 1: 3.20, Trade 2: 3.82
Time of entry – Trade 1: 15:32 BST Trade 2: 15:57 BST
21 ADR – 18.33
Catalyst / setup – Earnings miss opened approx 6% down, WSS setup below all MAs and a declining 200 sma
Consensus had already been trimmed heading in — Zacks flagged a 2.9% cut to the Street EPS estimate in the 30 days before the print (from ~€3.27 toward the ~€2.80 that was ultimately missed), meaning the bar was already moving down. The actual miss still slipped below even that lowered bar, but the direction of the surprise (soft EPS, margin strength) was not new information to the market.
The pattern of “beat/strong-margin quarter followed by a cautious growth guide” has now repeated: Q1 2026 saw a >12% share decline despite a strong beat, on guidance caution. This is the second consecutive quarter of that same dynamic, which makes it a confirmation of an already-recognized pattern rather than new information about the business.
Result – Trade 1: 1st arrow on the 5 min chart I front ran a bearish MACD cross and got stopped out for 1pt / 100% loss. Trade 2: 2nd arrow on the 5 min chart bearish MACD cross, closed 50% on a approx 1% move at 491.69 (16:34 BST), didnt get the 2% move during normal market hours so too another 50% off at 488.21 (20:37 BST) as 24 hour markets can be very choppy so risk management. Overnight it went past the 2% so took another 33% off at 483.10 (06/08/2026 06:13), remainder left as runner.
Trade 2: 06/08/26 20:50 – Scaled 50% of runner @ 475.28
Trade 2: 10/08/26 14:01 – Runner stopped out @ 495.19
Trade 1 closed -100%
Trade 2 closed approx +200%
Takeways –
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 5
Fridays market: Money entering the market – very high buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 13
Stocks above 40PMA: 54
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 340
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX No trend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: Uptrend
2%+ sectors Friday:
2%- sectors Friday:
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 65k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study closed over 200 again on Friday after a strong bullish breadth week. suggest we are in a bullish market but over bought in the short term. Focus EP9 & SIPs with strong cats.
Todays watchlist: Nothing yet
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 4
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -7
Stocks above 40PMA: 52
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 351
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX No trend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: Uptrend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
2%- sectors yesterday:
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study still over 100, choppy conditions and Friday with payrolls numbers, wont take any trades today will just observe the market.
Todays watchlist: Nothing
Entry price – 442.57
SL – 446
Risk – 3 bucks 43 cents
Time of entry – 15:18
Catalyst / setup – WSS, report advert rollout not performing as expected on Monday which caused the 1st leg down allowing for WSS setup to form.
WSS on daily reversed at 50% reclaim & stalled on the 5 min chart which was my entry
Result – CLOSED +406% profit – scaled 50% @ 436.15 and another 50% @ 431.59, scaled 66% of runner @ 400.85 on 27/07/2026.
Final part of runner stopped out 05/08/2026 at 00:00, closed at 430.10
Entry price – 11.18
SL – 11.25
Risk – 7 cents
Time of entry – 15:02
Catalyst / setup – Gapping up 18% at the open on fair results set against a low bar, targets had been cut aggressively in the weeks leading up to the results.
Gapped up into the 50sma entered once rejected with a tight SL of 7 cents.
Result – Closed, scaled 50% @ 10.91 and another 50% @ 10.80 and runner got stopped for a small loss. 327% profit.
Entry price – 245.93
SL – Mental stop around 248 just above 200sma
Risk – 2 bucks approx
Time of entry – 14:56 BST
Catalyst / setup – Gapped down below the 200 sma on earnings and setup a WSS around the 200 sma.
The revenue miss ends a run of clean beats and happened against a valuation (~46x forward P/E pre-print) that assumed continued flawless execution — that vulnerability is now visible in real numbers, not just in theory.
Thesis looking to enter around the 200 sma short for a WSS setup
Result – As you can see from the 5min chart above, I entered on hope, there was nothing in the 5 min chart action for me to enter the market with a short trade, I didnt let it set up it was just a hope trade.
As I didnt have a hard stop only a mental one I ended up closing out at 249.86 from approx a 250% loss.
Takeways –
