2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 40

Fridays market: Money leaving the market – very high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -28

Stocks above 40PMA: 40%

VIX: 22

52 week highs (US common stocks): 264

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SPY: No trend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: No trend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT: No trend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: No trend

1%+ sectors Friday:

$XLP +1.71%

1%- sectors Friday:

$SMH -9.22%
$TAN -9.07%
$XLK -6.66%
$XTL -5.71%
$IGV -4.21%
$HACK -3.80%
$XLY -2.05%
$XLB -1.92%
$XLE -1.84%
$IBB -1.74%
$XLI -1.12%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLV
Lagging – $XLU $XLE

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $HACK $SMH
Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 60k ish

Themes:

Generative AI

Semiconductors

Cyber security

Broad Tech

Space

Cloud Computing

Solar

Clean Energy

Software

Memory

Cybersecurity

Top 15 thematic stocks:

Ticker	Company	Sector / Industry	Mkt Cap	YTD Return	Key Catalyst	Analyst
NVDA	Nvidia Corp.	Semis — GPU / AI Accelerators	~$8T	+38%	Blackwell ramp; Jensen “next trillion-dollar co.” call on MRVL; Vera Rubin roadmap	Strong Buy ~$265 PT
AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	Semis — Custom ASIC / Networking	~$2.3T	+40%	Q2 beat: AI rev $10.8B (+143% YoY); Q3 guided $16B AI rev; $56B FY26 target	Buy ~$520 PT
MRVL	Marvell Technology Inc.	Semis — Custom Silicon / Networking	~$750B	+141%	Jensen Huang called it “next trillion-dollar co.” at Computex; custom XPU ramps	Strong Buy ~$140 PT
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	Semis — GPU / Data Center CPU	~$450B	+22%	MI350X ramp; enterprise AI expansion; cloud CPU share gains vs Intel	Buy ~$220 PT
TSM	Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg.	Semis — Foundry (2nm / 3nm)	~$1.1T	+28%	Bernstein PT raised $351→$430; sole 2nm/3nm supplier for NVDA, AVGO, MRVL	Strong Buy ~$430 PT
ANET	Arista Networks	Networking — AI Cluster Ethernet	~$180B	+30%	Q1 2026: net sales +30% YoY; organic growth +23%; AI cluster backend networking	Buy ~$460 PT
MU	Micron Technology	Semis — HBM3E / DRAM / NAND	~$280B	+18%	HBM3E capacity sold out through 2026; net income projected $66.8B in 2026	Buy ~$165 PT
VRT	Vertiv Holdings	Data Center Infra — Cooling / Power	~$60B	+45%	Q1 organic orders +81% YoY; $15B backlog; S&P 500 addition; NVDA co-dev deal	Buy ~$160 PT
GEV	GE Vernova	Power Infrastructure — Grid / Electrical	~$110B	+178%	$2.4B Q1 data center electrification orders; book-to-bill ~2.5; grid backlog surge	Buy ~$600 PT
ETN	Eaton Corp.	Power Mgmt — Electrical Systems	~$150B	+22%	Electrical Americas backlog +48%; transformer lead times >2 years; data center infra	Buy ~$410 PT
CEG	Constellation Energy	Utilities — Nuclear Baseload AI Power	~$90B	+25%	Calpine acquisition closed Jan 2026; PPAs with Microsoft, Meta; Three Mile Island restart	Buy ~$330 PT
CRWV	CoreWeave Inc.	Cloud — GPU-as-a-Service	~$130B	IPO 2026	Recent IPO; largest independent GPU cloud; hyperscaler overflow demand beneficiary	Buy ~$65 PT
PLTR	Palantir Technologies	AI Software — Government / Enterprise	~$380B	+55%	AIP adoption acceleration; DoD AI contract wins; enterprise AIP platform expansion	Hold/Buy ~$120 PT
SMCI	Super Micro Computer	AI Servers — Liquid Cooled Rack Scale	~$20B	-30%	NVDA Vera Rubin NVL72 platform; $2B Gorilla Tech deal; Helios platform launch	Hold ~$38 PT
LRCX	Lam Research	Semis — Wafer Fab Equipment	~$110B	+15%	HBM capacity buildout driving etch/deposition tool spend; DRAM cycle tailwind	Buy ~$1,050 PT

Are breakouts working: No

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Probably but need to setup after such a big move down

Should I be trading: WSS short only from proper setups which will take a few days, Friday was a 4% bearish 800+ day, look for a 4% bullish 800+ day in the next 2 – 4 weeks before considering anything long.

SA 05/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 39

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 0

Stocks above 40PMA: 45%

VIX: 15

52 week highs (US common stocks): 318

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$KRE +3.09%
$XLV +3.07%
$XLF +2.59%
$IBB +2.35%
$XLI +1.21%
$RTH +1.02%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$SMH -1.63%
$XLK -1.56%
$HACK -1.05%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLV
Lagging – $XLU $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $HACK $SMH
Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Themes: AI GPU & Accelerators, Custom AI Silicon (ASICs), AI Networking & Interconnects, Optical Photonics & Bandwidth, Semiconductor Capital Equipment, Hyperscaler Cloud Platforms, AI Data Cloud & Analytics, Enterprise Agentic AI Software, AI Memory (HBM), Government & Defense AI

Top 15 thematic stocks:

Ticker	Company	Sector	Mkt Cap	YTD	Key Catalyst	Analyst View
NVDA	NVIDIA Corp.	Semiconductors	~$2.6T	~+25%	Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guided	Strong Buy ~$175
AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	Semis/Networking	~$2.0T	+23%	Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chips	Buy BofA/MS top pick
MRVL	Marvell Technology	AI Networking	~$95B	+100%+	$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pick	Buy ~$120+
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	Semiconductors	~$350B	+40%+	CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI accelerators	Outperform Evercore
MU	Micron Technology	Memory/AI	~$800B+	+100%+	HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrained	Strong Buy
MSFT	Microsoft Corp.	Cloud/AI Software	~$3.1T	~+15%	Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetization	Buy ~$415
SNOW	Snowflake Inc.	Data/AI Cloud	~$80B	+60%+	Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS deal	Outperform $275–$295
NOW	ServiceNow Inc.	Enterprise AI	~$220B	~+30%	Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AI	Buy premium multiple
ORCL	Oracle Corp.	Cloud/AI Infra	~$580B	+7%	$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW day	Buy ~$204
PLTR	Palantir Technologies	AI Software/Gov	~$180B	~+50%	AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating week	Hold/Buy high premium
CSCO	Cisco Systems Inc.	AI Networking	~$240B	~+20%	Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demand	Buy
AMAT	Applied Materials	Semiconductor Equip	~$180B	~+20%	BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildout	Outperform
LRCX	Lam Research Corp.	Semiconductor Equip	~$110B	~+15%	Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiary	Buy
LITE	Lumentum Holdings	Optical/Photonics	~$8B	+121%	Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per Tickeron	Buy
GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	Hyperscaler/AI	~$2.4T	~+12%	TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue acceleration	Buy ~$387
SOXX	iShares Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCX	ETF — diversified
SMH	VanEck Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquid	ETF — diversified
IGV	iShares Exp. Tech-Software ETF	ETF	—	+21% May alone	Enterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTR	ETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: No, starting to test / pull back into their breakouts

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended stocks & weak sectors

Should I be trading: Pullback is starting, only strong cat based longs or WSS shorts

SA 04/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 38

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -46

Stocks above 40PMA: 39%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 267

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IBB +1.97%
$XLE +1.29%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$IGV -4.33%
$XTL -3.76%
$HACK -3.00%
$TAN -2.74%
$KRE -2.39%
$JETS -2.35%
$XLF -1.15%
$XLK -1.00%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLV
Lagging – $XLU $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $HACK $SMH
Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Top 15 thematic stocks:

Ticker	Company	Sector	Mkt Cap	YTD	Key Catalyst	Analyst View
NVDA	NVIDIA Corp.	Semiconductors	~$2.6T	~+25%	Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guided	Strong Buy ~$175
AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	Semis/Networking	~$2.0T	+23%	Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chips	Buy BofA/MS top pick
MRVL	Marvell Technology	AI Networking	~$95B	+100%+	$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pick	Buy ~$120+
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	Semiconductors	~$350B	+40%+	CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI accelerators	Outperform Evercore
MU	Micron Technology	Memory/AI	~$800B+	+100%+	HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrained	Strong Buy
MSFT	Microsoft Corp.	Cloud/AI Software	~$3.1T	~+15%	Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetization	Buy ~$415
SNOW	Snowflake Inc.	Data/AI Cloud	~$80B	+60%+	Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS deal	Outperform $275–$295
NOW	ServiceNow Inc.	Enterprise AI	~$220B	~+30%	Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AI	Buy premium multiple
ORCL	Oracle Corp.	Cloud/AI Infra	~$580B	+7%	$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW day	Buy ~$204
PLTR	Palantir Technologies	AI Software/Gov	~$180B	~+50%	AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating week	Hold/Buy high premium
CSCO	Cisco Systems Inc.	AI Networking	~$240B	~+20%	Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demand	Buy
AMAT	Applied Materials	Semiconductor Equip	~$180B	~+20%	BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildout	Outperform
LRCX	Lam Research Corp.	Semiconductor Equip	~$110B	~+15%	Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiary	Buy
LITE	Lumentum Holdings	Optical/Photonics	~$8B	+121%	Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per Tickeron	Buy
GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	Hyperscaler/AI	~$2.4T	~+12%	TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue acceleration	Buy ~$387
SOXX	iShares Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCX	ETF — diversified
SMH	VanEck Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquid	ETF — diversified
IGV	iShares Exp. Tech-Software ETF	ETF	—	+21% May alone	Enterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTR	ETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: No starting to fail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended stocks & weak sectors

Should I be trading: Pullback is starting, only strong cat based longs or WSS shorts

SA 03/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 37

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -4

Stocks above 40PMA: 45%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 304

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$SMH +4.01%
$XTL +3.28%
$XLU +1.86%
$KRE +1.80%
$TAN +1.60%
$XLK +1.25%
$XLB +1.18%
$XLE +1.15%
$XLI +1.04%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$IBB -3.01%
$IGV -2.76%
$JETS -1.49%
$IYT -1.00%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLB
Lagging – $XLU $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $HACK $SMH
Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 67k ish

Top 15 thematic stocks:

Ticker	Company	Sector	Mkt Cap	YTD	Key Catalyst	Analyst View
NVDA	NVIDIA Corp.	Semiconductors	~$2.6T	~+25%	Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guided	Strong Buy ~$175
AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	Semis/Networking	~$2.0T	+23%	Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chips	Buy BofA/MS top pick
MRVL	Marvell Technology	AI Networking	~$95B	+100%+	$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pick	Buy ~$120+
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	Semiconductors	~$350B	+40%+	CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI accelerators	Outperform Evercore
MU	Micron Technology	Memory/AI	~$800B+	+100%+	HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrained	Strong Buy
MSFT	Microsoft Corp.	Cloud/AI Software	~$3.1T	~+15%	Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetization	Buy ~$415
SNOW	Snowflake Inc.	Data/AI Cloud	~$80B	+60%+	Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS deal	Outperform $275–$295
NOW	ServiceNow Inc.	Enterprise AI	~$220B	~+30%	Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AI	Buy premium multiple
ORCL	Oracle Corp.	Cloud/AI Infra	~$580B	+7%	$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW day	Buy ~$204
PLTR	Palantir Technologies	AI Software/Gov	~$180B	~+50%	AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating week	Hold/Buy high premium
CSCO	Cisco Systems Inc.	AI Networking	~$240B	~+20%	Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demand	Buy
AMAT	Applied Materials	Semiconductor Equip	~$180B	~+20%	BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildout	Outperform
LRCX	Lam Research Corp.	Semiconductor Equip	~$110B	~+15%	Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiary	Buy
LITE	Lumentum Holdings	Optical/Photonics	~$8B	+121%	Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per Tickeron	Buy
GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	Hyperscaler/AI	~$2.4T	~+12%	TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue acceleration	Buy ~$387
SOXX	iShares Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCX	ETF — diversified
SMH	VanEck Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquid	ETF — diversified
IGV	iShares Exp. Tech-Software ETF	ETF	—	+21% May alone	Enterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTR	ETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: Selectively

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study is just over 100, anything over 100 is frothy so risk to the long side still elevated

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: No new longs with 20% study elevated unless exceptional catalyst

SA 02/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 36

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -13

Stocks above 40PMA: 44%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 232

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: No trend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IGV +5.94%
$HACK +5.69%
$XLK +2.48%
$XLE +1.79%
$SMH +1.48%
$IYT +1.23%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$TAN -3.79%
$XLU -2.97%
$XLY -2.22%
$KRE -1.87%
$RTH -1.82%
$IBB -1.63%
$XLV -1.09%
$XLP -1.06%
$JETS -1.33%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLV
Lagging – $XLU $XLE

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $HACK $SMH
Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 70k ish

Top 15 thematic stocks:

Ticker	Company	Sector	Mkt Cap	YTD	Key Catalyst	Analyst View
NVDA	NVIDIA Corp.	Semiconductors	~$2.6T	~+25%	Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guided	Strong Buy ~$175
AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	Semis/Networking	~$2.0T	+23%	Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chips	Buy BofA/MS top pick
MRVL	Marvell Technology	AI Networking	~$95B	+100%+	$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pick	Buy ~$120+
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	Semiconductors	~$350B	+40%+	CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI accelerators	Outperform Evercore
MU	Micron Technology	Memory/AI	~$800B+	+100%+	HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrained	Strong Buy
MSFT	Microsoft Corp.	Cloud/AI Software	~$3.1T	~+15%	Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetization	Buy ~$415
SNOW	Snowflake Inc.	Data/AI Cloud	~$80B	+60%+	Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS deal	Outperform $275–$295
NOW	ServiceNow Inc.	Enterprise AI	~$220B	~+30%	Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AI	Buy premium multiple
ORCL	Oracle Corp.	Cloud/AI Infra	~$580B	+7%	$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW day	Buy ~$204
PLTR	Palantir Technologies	AI Software/Gov	~$180B	~+50%	AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating week	Hold/Buy high premium
CSCO	Cisco Systems Inc.	AI Networking	~$240B	~+20%	Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demand	Buy
AMAT	Applied Materials	Semiconductor Equip	~$180B	~+20%	BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildout	Outperform
LRCX	Lam Research Corp.	Semiconductor Equip	~$110B	~+15%	Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiary	Buy
LITE	Lumentum Holdings	Optical/Photonics	~$8B	+121%	Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per Tickeron	Buy
GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	Hyperscaler/AI	~$2.4T	~+12%	TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue acceleration	Buy ~$387
SOXX	iShares Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCX	ETF — diversified
SMH	VanEck Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquid	ETF — diversified
IGV	iShares Exp. Tech-Software ETF	ETF	—	+21% May alone	Enterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTR	ETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: Yes

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study is very elevated at 156, anything over 100 is frothy so expecting a pull back in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: No new longs with 20% study elevated

SA 01/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 35

Fridays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -5

Stocks above 40PMA: 46%

VIX: 15

52 week highs (US common stocks): 271

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Uptrend

1%+ sectors Friday:

$IGV +6.25%
$HACK +5.83%
$TAN +2.78%
$XLK +2.23%

1%- sectors Friday:

$XLP -1.80%
$RTH -1.44%
$XTL -1.29%
$XLE -1.16%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLV
Lagging – $XLU $XLE

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $HACK $TAN
Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 73k ish

Top 15 thematic stocks:

Ticker	Company	Sector	Mkt Cap	YTD	Key Catalyst	Analyst View
NVDA	NVIDIA Corp.	Semiconductors	~$2.6T	~+25%	Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guided	Strong Buy ~$175
AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	Semis/Networking	~$2.0T	+23%	Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chips	Buy BofA/MS top pick
MRVL	Marvell Technology	AI Networking	~$95B	+100%+	$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pick	Buy ~$120+
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	Semiconductors	~$350B	+40%+	CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI accelerators	Outperform Evercore
MU	Micron Technology	Memory/AI	~$800B+	+100%+	HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrained	Strong Buy
MSFT	Microsoft Corp.	Cloud/AI Software	~$3.1T	~+15%	Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetization	Buy ~$415
SNOW	Snowflake Inc.	Data/AI Cloud	~$80B	+60%+	Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS deal	Outperform $275–$295
NOW	ServiceNow Inc.	Enterprise AI	~$220B	~+30%	Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AI	Buy premium multiple
ORCL	Oracle Corp.	Cloud/AI Infra	~$580B	+7%	$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW day	Buy ~$204
PLTR	Palantir Technologies	AI Software/Gov	~$180B	~+50%	AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating week	Hold/Buy high premium
CSCO	Cisco Systems Inc.	AI Networking	~$240B	~+20%	Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demand	Buy
AMAT	Applied Materials	Semiconductor Equip	~$180B	~+20%	BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildout	Outperform
LRCX	Lam Research Corp.	Semiconductor Equip	~$110B	~+15%	Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiary	Buy
LITE	Lumentum Holdings	Optical/Photonics	~$8B	+121%	Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per Tickeron	Buy
GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	Hyperscaler/AI	~$2.4T	~+12%	TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue acceleration	Buy ~$387
SOXX	iShares Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCX	ETF — diversified
SMH	VanEck Semis ETF	ETF	—	+35%+	Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquid	ETF — diversified
IGV	iShares Exp. Tech-Software ETF	ETF	—	+21% May alone	Enterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTR	ETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: Yes

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study is very elevated at 120, anything over 100 is frothy so expecting a pull back in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes in weak sectors & extended stocks

Should I be trading: No new longs with 20% study elevated

$SMCI short 29/05/2026

Entry price – 47.18

SL – 47.60

Risk – 42 cents

Time of entry – 15:11

Catalyst / setup – Break of declining 10 sma with MACD confirmation after gap up at the open

Result – 2 scales (45.99 & 45.63) with runner still on (Update: runner stopped in extended trading 01/06/2026 01:25)

SA 29/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 34

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 22

Stocks above 40PMA: 49%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 301

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IGV +2.84%
$HACK +2.28%
$TAN +2.01%
$XLV +1.40%
$IBB +1.39%
$XLK +1.31%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLU -1.13%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLV
Lagging – $XLU $XLF

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 74k ish

Themes: Electrical Equipment, Semiconductors, Energy Infrastructure, Data-Center, Cybersecurity, Satellites, Industrial Technology

Are breakouts working: yES

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study is very elevated at 178, anything over 100 is frothy so expecting a pull back in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes in weak sectors & extended stocks

Should I be trading: Will just follow the market today with no planned trading 20% study still very elevated and its month end.

SA 28/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 33

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 20

Stocks above 40PMA: 49%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 297

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$JETS +2.90%
$TAN +2.25%
$IYT +1.94%
$XLY +1.76%
$XTL +1.27%
$XLP +1.14%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$HACK -3.80%
$XLE -1.49%
$SMH -1.10%
$IGV -1.07%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLV
Lagging – $XLU $XLB

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 73k ish

Themes: Electrical Equipment, Semiconductors, Energy Infrastructure, Data-Center, Cybersecurity, Satellites, Industrial Technology

Are breakouts working: Selectively

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study VERY elevated at 202, anything over 100 is frothy so expecting a pull back in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes in weak sectors & extended stocks

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan, no new longs with 20% study so elevated

SA 27/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 32

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 27

Stocks above 40PMA: 50%

VIX: 17

52 week highs (US common stocks): 323

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$TAN +4.56%
$SMH +4.48%
$JETS +4.17%
$IYT +4.90%
$XTL +2.91%
$XLK +2.63%
$XLI +1.47%
$XLB +1.39%
$KRE +1.34%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLE -2.76%
$XLP -1.38%
$RTH -1.21%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLF
Lagging – $XLU $XLB

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $HACK
Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 76k ish

Themes: Electrical Equipment, Semiconductors, Energy Infrastructure, Data-Center, Cybersecurity, Satellites, Industrial Technology

Are breakouts working: Selectively

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study is at 128, anything over 100 is frothy so expecting a pull back in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes in weak sectors & extended stocks

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan