Entry price – 34000 calls
Risk – 91 at 1$ per point
Time of entry – 14:38 BST
Catalyst / setup – Event Sept 8th took cheap calls as normally rises into event a AI air pods possible leaked, theme AI
Result – Running
$AAPL long calls 18/08/2026
$META long 30/07/2026
Entry price – 529.71
SL – 523
Risk – 6 bucks 71 cents
Time of entry – 15:05
Catalyst / setup – SIP (stock in play): Gapping down 9% after earnings, the earnings we’re actually quite good but skewed by “The miss was driven by $2.40 billion in charges “related to legal proceedings” and $1.18 billion in severance tied to the May 2026 layoff of ~8,000 employees.”
“The headline “miss” is almost entirely an optics function of two disclosed, non-recurring charges. Strip them out and the quarter’s underlying profitability would have modestly beaten consensus. This is a textbook case of EPS optics requiring decomposition before drawing a conclusion about operational deterioration.”
Based on the above low risk entry expecting it to get bought. Catalyst news related gap down probably over done.
Result – Closed, scaled 50% after 1% move at @ 535.48 and another 50% @ 538.40, didn’t reach 2% scale by the close but as 24 hour market scaled early as after hours markets can be choppy.
Runner stopped 18/08/2026 @ 14:27 at 557.21 approx +120% profit.
$DRAM long 18/08/2026
Entry price – Trade 1: 56.89 Trade 2: 55.6
SL – Trade 1: 56.10 (LOD) Trade 2: 54.80
Risk – Trade 1: 79 cents Trade 2: 80 cents
Time of entry – Trade 1: 14:54 BST Trade 2: 16:34 BST
21 ADR – 3.07
Catalyst / setup – Large gap down due to credit news in super cycle sector, thought was over done, looking for a recovery. Didn’t happen but this morning opened up +6% so thesis was right but too early.
Result – Trade 1: stopped at 56.08 -100% Trade 2: stopped at 54.80 -100%
Notes – I front ran trade 1 expecting buying to come in at the open in shortly after and got stopped out shortly after. Trade 2 was textbook trade waiting for price to cross above 10 sma with bullish MACD.
SA 19/08/2026
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 12
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -42
Stocks above 40PMA: 48
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 221
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX No trend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: No trend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: No trend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: No trend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
- None
2%- sectors yesterday:
- $SMH -4.09%
- $XTL -2.50%
- $X;K -2.47%
- $TAN -2.06%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $XLE $IBB
- Lagging – $XLU $XLP
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $IGV $HACK
- Lagging – $IYT $TAN
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: A big sell off yesterday due to rate concerns and US paying the most amount paid to borrow money, many charts need to repair yesterdays damage, some still look good but need to see if this is a blip or something bigger.
EP9 is main focus with strong cat.
Todays watchlist (stocks setting up): Nothing at the moment
SA 18/08/2026
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 11
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -15
Stocks above 40PMA: 51
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 233
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: No trend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
- None
2%- sectors yesterday:
- $JETS -2.25%
- $HACK -2.22%
- $TAN -2.02%
- $IGV -2.01%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $XLV $XLK
- Lagging – $XLU $XLP
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $IGV $HACK
- Lagging – $TLT $TAN
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: A lot of stocks faded yesterday just under or at the 50sma. Yesterday was the 1st day where selling was higher than buying in about 2 weeks but nothing extreme, feels like consolidating before the next leg.
EP9 is main focus with strong cat.
Todays watchlist (stocks setting up): Nothing at the moment
SA 17/08/2026
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 10
Fridays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 27
Stocks above 40PMA: 55
VIX: 14
52 week highs (US common stocks): 379
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: No trend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: No trend
2%+ sectors Friday:
- None
2%- sectors Friday:
- $HACK -3.04%
- $IGV -2.07%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $XLV $XLE
- Lagging – $XLU $XLY
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $IGV $HACK
- Lagging – $TLT $TAN
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study back below 100 at around 50 removing over bought conditions. Focus EP9 with strong cats & SIPs. 3rd day of 10 day breadth ratio closing over 2.
Todays watchlist (stocks setting up): $AAPL $BMNR $MSTR $MRVL $RDW $RKLB $GOOG $GLW $BB $ASTS
SA 14/08/2026
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 9
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 24
Stocks above 40PMA: 55
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 362
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: No trend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: No trend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
- $IGV +3.10%
- $HACK +2.55%
2%- sectors yesterday:
- None
Main sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $XLV $XLE
- Lagging – $XLU $XLY
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $IGV $HACK
- Lagging – $SMH $TAN
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study back below 100 removing over bought conditions. Focus EP9 & SIPs with strong cats. 2nd day of 10 day breadth ratio closing over 2.
Todays watchlist: $HTFL
$DRAM long 12/08/2026
Entry price – 54.27
SL – 51.5
Risk – 2.77
Time of entry – 14:08 BST
21 ADR – 3.16
Catalyst / setup – Thematic, super cycle, bullish earnings in the sector and bullish breadth increasing, this is a ETF to give me broad cover in the sector
Result – Trade still running
SA 13/08/2026
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 8
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 2
Stocks above 40PMA: 52
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 345
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: Uptrend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
- $SMH +2.08%
- $XTL +2.03%
2%- sectors yesterday:
- None
Main sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $IBB $XLE
- Lagging – $XLU $XLP
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $IGV $HACK
- Lagging – $TLT $TAN
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish digestion
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study closed at 113 over bought conditions working off ready for the next leg. Focus EP9 & SIPs with strong cats. 10 day breadth ratio closed over 2 for the 1st time since early June.
Todays watchlist: None at the moment
SA 12/08/2026
Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 7
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market -normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -6
Stocks above 40PMA: 51
VIX: 15
52 week highs (US common stocks): 283
Seasonality: August in a midterm year tends to be choppy/flat-to-negative August, elevated volatility running into the fall, with the worst of the pullback tending to resolve before year-end — followed by the strongest 12 months of the whole four-year cycle in the year after the midterm.
There’s also a well-known pattern (cited by Carson Investment Research and others) that the deeper drawdowns typical of midterm years often bottom out around August, ahead of a rally into and after the election.
Indices:
$SOXX Uptrend
$QQQ: Uptrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: Uptrend
$IWM: Uptrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: Downtrend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: Uptrend
$SLV: Uptrend
$SLX: Uptrend
2%+ sectors yesterday:
- None
2%- sectors yesterday:
- None
Main sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $XLB $XLE
- Lagging – $XLU $XLK
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
- Leading – $IGV $HACK
- Lagging – $SMH $TAN
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Cybersecurity
Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Semiconductors
Software
Top thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | GPU / AI Chips | ~$5.2T | +13.7% | Q1 FY27 rev $81.6B (+85%); Data Center +92% YoY; Q2 guide $91B | STR BUYPT $301 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | GPU / AI Chips | ~$380B | +141.8% | Q2 earnings Aug 4; rev est. $11.2B (+46%); $5B Anthropic investment | STR BUYPT est. $250+ |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Custom AI Silicon | ~$1.6T | +~12% | AI semi rev Q2 $10.8B (+143%); Q3 guide $16B (+200%); Samsung $200B MOU | STR BUYPT $527 |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | AI Cloud / Enterprise | ~$2.8T | -20.7% | Azure +40%; AI run rate $37B; RPO $627B; 90% probability of Q2 beat | BUYPT $557 |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platform / Gov | ~$270B | -27% | Q2 earnings Aug 3; est. rev $1.81B (+81%); 8 consecutive EPS beats; DIA contract | BUYPT $181 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave Inc. | AI Cloud / Neocloud | ~$30B | ~-25% | Truist Buy upgrade; Leidos defense cloud deal; Meta $21B GPU contract; earnings Aug 11 | BUYPT $140 |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings | Data Center Infra | ~$100B | +71% | Q1 rev +30%; Americas organic +44%; backlog $15B; book-to-bill 2.9x | STR BUYPT $377 |
| ETN | Eaton Corp. | Power Infrastructure | ~$165B | +29% | Purest electrical infra play; switchgear/thermal mgmt; Q2 earnings data center order watch | BUYPT $480+ |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | Power Generation | ~$438B | +53.3% | Power Gen +41% YoY; record backlog; data center gensets; Q1 EPS beat 19% | HOLD/BUYPT $962 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp. | AI Cloud / Database | ~$380B | ~flat | Google Gemini integration; AI cloud rev growth; Piper Sandler cloud upside call | BUYPT est. $170+ |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology | Custom Networking Chips | ~$80B | +est. +60% | AI networking silicon; custom ASIC design for hyperscalers; data center growth | BUYPT est. $100+ |
| INTC | Intel Corp. | Semiconductor / Foundry | ~$150B | +226% | Foundry recovery; AI chip ramp; massive YTD momentum; Q2 earnings watch | HOLDPT est. $35+ |
| CEG | Constellation Energy | Nuclear / Data Ctr Power | ~$85B | +est. +50% | Data centers projected 12% of US power by 2028; nuclear PPA deals with hyperscalers | BUYPT est. $270+ |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | AI Server Systems | ~$30B | +est. +80% | GPU server demand; NVIDIA rack integration; audit resolution tailwind | BUYPT est. $60+ |
| NET | Cloudflare Inc. | AI Edge / Security | ~$90B | ~+est. | Scotiabank upgrade; AI inference edge delivery; enterprise AI platform expansion | BUYPT est. $300+ |
| ⬦ Theme ETFs | ||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductor Basket | — | +85.7% | Broadest semi exposure; includes NVDA, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MRVL | — |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | AI Cloud Basket | — | ~flat | CRWV, NET, ORCL, SNOW; concentrated in AI infra names | — |
| VPN | Global X Data Center REITs & Digital Infra | Data Center REIT | — | — | Targets data center REITs and digital infrastructure operators | — |
What type of market are we in: Bullish digestion
Are breakouts working: Selectively
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Selectively
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: 20% study closed at 129 suggests we are over bought conditions working off ready for the next lef. Focus EP9 & SIPs with strong cats.
Todays watchlist: $DRAM $QQQ $NOK $MSTR