2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 23

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – normal selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -46

Stocks above 40PMA: 51%

VIX: 18

52 week highs (US common stocks): 258

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XLV +1.96%
$IBB +1.34%
$XLP +1.28%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$SMH -2.61%
$TAN -2.22%
$IGV -1.38%
$JETS -1.28%
$HACK -1.24%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLP $XLK
Lagging – $IBB $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IGV
Lagging – $TLT $KRE

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 81k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics

Are breakouts working: No

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: 20% study elevated over 100 so expecting a pullback in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended stocks

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

SA 12/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 22

Yesterdays market: High buying pressure & high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -32

Stocks above 40PMA: 53%

VIX: 18

52 week highs (US common stocks): 280

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XLE +2.64%
$XTL +2.24%
$TAN +1.79%
$SMH +1.72%
$XLK +1.34%
$XLB +1.30%
$XLI +1.06%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -3.17%
$KRE -1.86%
$RTH -1.68%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLE $XLK
Lagging – $IBB $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IGV
Lagging – $TLT $KRE

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 81k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics

Are breakouts working: Yes

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: 20% study elevated over 100 so expecting a pullback in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

SA 11/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 21

Fridays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -4

Stocks above 40PMA: 57%

VIX: 17

52 week highs (US common stocks): 353

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors Friday:

$SMH +4.90%
$TAN +3.65%
$XLK +3.44%
$HACK +1.07%

1%- sectors Friday:

None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLP $XLK
Lagging – $XLU $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IGV
Lagging – $TLT $KRE

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 81k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics

Are breakouts working: Yes

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: 20% study elevated over 100 so expecting a pullback in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

$SOFI short

Entered WSS setup created after negative earnings reaction, the earnings were strong but looks like the street wanted to see a raised full year guidance.

I took 2 entries highlighted on the below chart

SA 06/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 18

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 2

Stocks above 40PMA: 57%

VIX: 17

52 week highs (US common stocks): 330

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: No trend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$TAN +3.99%
$SMH +3.14%
$JETS +2.52%
$XLK +2.21%
$HACK +2.07%
$XLB +1.74%
$HACK +1.60%
$IYT +1.55%
$KRE +1.35%

1%- sectors yesterday:

None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLU $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 81k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics, Energy

Are breakouts working: Yes

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: 20% study elevated over 100 so expecting a pullback in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

SA 05/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 17

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -35

Stocks above 40PMA: 55%

VIX: 18

52 week highs (US common stocks): 199

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: No trend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IGV +2.09%
$IBB +1.73%
$HACK +1.60%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$IYT -3.95%
$TAN -1.50%
$XLB -1.36%
$JETS -1.32%
$XTL -1.23%
$KRE -1.19%
$XLI -1.14%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLB $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IGV
Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 81k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics, Energy

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes EPs SoS

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

SA 01/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 15

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -21

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 17

52 week highs (US common stocks): 295

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: No trend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XTL +5.28%
$TAN +4.08%
$XLI +2.74%
$XLU +2.56%
$XLV +2.21%
$IBB +2.00%
$JETS +1.97%
$XLP +1.68%
$IYT +1.60%
$SMH +1.43%
$RTH +1.37%
$XLY +1.29%
$KRE +1.19%
$XLE +1.05%
$XLB +1.00%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$HACK -1.57%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $IBB $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 77k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics, Energy

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes EPs SoS

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

SA 30/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 13

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -27.41

Stocks above 40PMA: 55%

VIX: 19

52 week highs (US common stocks): 192

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: No trend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XLE +2.29%
$XTL +1.81%
$SMH +1.70%
$HACK +1.64%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$TAN -2.60%
$KRE -1.90%
$IBB -1.45%
$JETS -1.38%
$XLU -1.23%
$IYT -1.11%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $IBB $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $HACK
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 76k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics, Energy

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

$CRML long

Had news catalyst pre market and was breaking higher on big volume, entered on break of opening 3m bar, with SL set just below opening gap lows.

You can see it filled its opening gap & then took off for the rest of the day to close +25%.

I got stopped out at 11.75 and missed the big move.

Looking above you can see gap filled and a high vol bar, this is where it reversed and never looked back.

Looking at the chart now I can see I bought it when it was above the upper BB so I should have expected to come back in. Dont enter a trade when above upper BB, some times you might miss it but plenty of other opportunities. Also if something I think is a long but its gap filling keep an eye on it to see if it takes off after the gap fill like the above.

SA 28/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 11

Yesterdays market: Money coming into the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 36

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$KRE +1.71%
$HACK +1.09%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -1.81%
$XTL -1.58%
$XLP -1.07%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 77k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, Transports, AI, Robotics

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS, lots of the MAG7 report this week so will likely dictate direction, see if good earnings get rewarded or sold.