$CRML long

Showed up in EP1 & EP4 scans on Friday. Entered long as a 9 million EP.

Catalyst:

“Critical Metals boosted its ownership in the Tanbreez rare earth project to 92.5% after acquiring the remaining 50.5% interest it didn’t already own from Rimbal Pty Ltd. Benzinga Critically, the Government of Greenland approved the transfer — which is what really moved the needle, as it cleared the major regulatory hurdle and gave CRML nearly total strategic and operational autonomy over one of the planet’s premier heavy rare-earth deposits. “

“CRML closed Friday at $12.56, up 35.49%, with trading volume reaching 72.8 million shares — about 427% above its three-month average. “

SA 20/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 5

Fridays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 126 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 63%

VIX: 20

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors Friday:

$JETS +4.84%
$XLY +2.36%
$KRE +2.24%
$SMH +2.06%
$IYT +1.90%
$XLI +1.87%
$RTH +1.71%
$XLK +1.53%
$XLV +1.49%
$IBB +1.46%
$XPL +1.26%
$TAN +1.17%
$XTL +1.04%
$HACK +1.03%

1%- sectors Friday:

$XLE -2.76%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $JETS
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is at 171, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

$PL long

Had it as a delayed reaction for a while, took a small swing long position today on the a break of the opening 3m bar with stop at LOD. Volume was running 350% vs 20 sma.

Took a smaller position as the markets are at the frothy end and due some kind of pull back or consolidation.

SA 16/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 4

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 88 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 56%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XTL +3.55%
$HACK +2.40%
$IYT +1.70%
$IGV +1.66%
$XLE +1.47%
$XLK +1.14%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$TAN -1.50%
$JETS -1.44%
$IBB -1.06%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLF $XLK
Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is over 100, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

SA 16/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 3

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 99 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 54%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$JIGV +4.40%
$HACK +3.36%
$XLK +1.60%
$XLY +1.49%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLI -1.25%
$XLB -1.21%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLF $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $JETS
Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is at 100, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

$CVX short

Had it flagged as a possible short failing to claim 50 SMA on daily below. Tracked $USO & when that started to breakdown entered on below when it failed to get above the declining 10 EMA. Scaled 50% on breach of lower BB.

On the daily above failed to reclaim the 50 sma the day before and opened with a gap down.

SA 15/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 2

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 113 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 53%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$JETS +4.42%
$XLY +2.21%
$IBB +2.13%
$SMH +1.95%
$XLK +1.60%
$IYT +1.44%
$RTH +1.19%
$SP500 +1.18%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLE -2.03%
$HACK -1.08%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLF $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $JETS
Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 74k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is at 131, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

$CRCL short

Entered on breach of upper BB on heavy volume, then got stopped out when it breached HOD.

Notice how the volume is steadily increasing as opposed to a random massive volume spike which typically suggests exhaustion. This was a poor entry from me but one I will learn from. Also the over all market was in a general up day so swimming against the tide.

SA 14/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 1

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 108 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 50%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IGV +5.40%
$HACK +4.37%
$XLK +2.10%
$XLF +1.75%
$IBB +1.66%
$SMH +1.48%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLU -1.21%
$XLP -1.00 %

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLF $XLK
Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $KRE
Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes, start of earnings season and 1st day moving into a new bullish phase. EP & Sugarbabys.

SA 13/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – Normal normal pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 76 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 45%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors Friday:

$SMH +1.53%

1%- sectors Friday:

$HACK -4.85%
$IGV -2.57%
$IBB -1.62%
$XLV -1.35%
$KRE -1.30%
$XLP -1.29%
$XLF -1.09%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLB $XLE
Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $KRE
Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 71k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & stocks breaking down

Should I be trading: Yes, start of earnings season, EPs & WSS