2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 9

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 43

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$TAN +2.75%
$XLU +2.72%
$XLI +1.77%
$IYT +1.72%
$XLP +1.67%
$XLE +1.20%
$KRE +1.08%
$SMH +1.05%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$IGV -5.83%
$HACK -3.60%
$IBB -1.62%
$XLK -1.42%
$XLY -1.00%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLB $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Materials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS

$KMX short

Faded the gap up and entered when closed below declining 10EMA with MACD confirmation with SL at 49.50 HOD.

Scaled 50% at 39.20 & another at 50% at 39. Left runner on and moved SL to break even.

Catalyst:

Results on 14/04/2026 showed net margins cut in half from 1.8% to 0.9% in a low margin business.

Gross margins and vehicle profit per unit are declining.

This is a low-margin business getting worse, not better.

SA 23/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 8

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 55 cooled off but still elevated

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$TAN +4.30%
$SMH +2.62%
$IGV +2.38%
$XLK +2.20%
$XLE +1.20%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -3.25%
$IYT -2.33%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Retail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related or scalps

Should I be trading: Yes, overbought conditions eased with 20% study back below 100

SA 22/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 7

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 65 cooled off but still elevated end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 20

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$HACK +1.59%
$XLE +1.45%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -2.90%
$XLU -1.75%
$TAN -1.57%
$KRE -1.43%
$XLI -1.41%
$XLV -1.02%
$IBB -1.01%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Retail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, overbought conditions eased with 20% study back below 100

SA 21/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 6

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 121 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 63%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IGV +1.43%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -1.33%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $KRE
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 76k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Telecoms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days still over 100, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

$CRML long

Showed up in EP1 & EP4 scans on Friday. Entered long as a 9 million EP.

Catalyst:

“Critical Metals boosted its ownership in the Tanbreez rare earth project to 92.5% after acquiring the remaining 50.5% interest it didn’t already own from Rimbal Pty Ltd. Benzinga Critically, the Government of Greenland approved the transfer — which is what really moved the needle, as it cleared the major regulatory hurdle and gave CRML nearly total strategic and operational autonomy over one of the planet’s premier heavy rare-earth deposits. “

“CRML closed Friday at $12.56, up 35.49%, with trading volume reaching 72.8 million shares — about 427% above its three-month average. “

SA 20/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 5

Fridays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 126 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 63%

VIX: 20

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors Friday:

$JETS +4.84%
$XLY +2.36%
$KRE +2.24%
$SMH +2.06%
$IYT +1.90%
$XLI +1.87%
$RTH +1.71%
$XLK +1.53%
$XLV +1.49%
$IBB +1.46%
$XPL +1.26%
$TAN +1.17%
$XTL +1.04%
$HACK +1.03%

1%- sectors Friday:

$XLE -2.76%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $JETS
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is at 171, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

$PL long

Had it as a delayed reaction for a while, took a small swing long position today on the a break of the opening 3m bar with stop at LOD. Volume was running 350% vs 20 sma.

Took a smaller position as the markets are at the frothy end and due some kind of pull back or consolidation.

SA 16/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 4

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 88 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 56%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XTL +3.55%
$HACK +2.40%
$IYT +1.70%
$IGV +1.66%
$XLE +1.47%
$XLK +1.14%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$TAN -1.50%
$JETS -1.44%
$IBB -1.06%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLF $XLK
Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is over 100, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

SA 16/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 3

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 99 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 54%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$JIGV +4.40%
$HACK +3.36%
$XLK +1.60%
$XLY +1.49%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLI -1.25%
$XLB -1.21%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLF $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $JETS
Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is at 100, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback