SA 28/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 12

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – Normal selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 25

Stocks above 40PMA: 61%

VIX: 18

52 week highs: 39

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE +1.66%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH -2.97%
  • $XTL -2.35%
  • $TAN -1.82%
  • $XLK -1.69%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $IYT
  • Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 77k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, Transports, AI, Robotics

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, but check any new longs if likely impacted by MAG7 reporting tonight and if so avoid until after reports.

$CRML long

Had news catalyst pre market and was breaking higher on big volume, entered on break of opening 3m bar, with SL set just below opening gap lows.

You can see it filled its opening gap & then took off for the rest of the day to close +25%.

I got stopped out at 11.75 and missed the big move.

Looking above you can see gap filled and a high vol bar, this is where it reversed and never looked back.

Looking at the chart now I can see I bought it when it was above the upper BB so I should have expected to come back in.  Dont enter a trade when above upper BB, some times you might miss it but plenty of other opportunities.  Also if something I think is a long but its gap filling keep an eye on it to see if it takes off after the gap fill like the above.

SA 28/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 11

Yesterdays market: Money coming into the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 36

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $KRE +1.71%
  • $HACK +1.09%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS -1.81%
  • $XTL -1.58%
  • $XLP -1.07%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $IYT
  • Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 77k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, Transports, AI, Robotics

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS, lots of the MAG7 report this week so will likely dictate direction, see if good earnings get rewarded or sold.

SA 27/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 10

Yesterdays market: Money coming into the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 35

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $SMH +5.10%
  • $XLK +2.81%
  • $IGV +1.95%
  • $JETS +1.09%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $KRE -1.59%
  • $XLV -1.41%
  • $IBB -1.02%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $IYT
  • Lagging – $TLT $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, Transports

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS, lots of the MAG7 report this week so will likely dictate direction, see if good earnings get rewarded or sold.

SA 24/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 9

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 43

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN +2.75%
  • $XLU +2.72%
  • $XLI +1.77%
  • $IYT +1.72%
  • $XLP +1.67%
  • $XLE +1.20%
  • $KRE +1.08%
  • $SMH +1.05%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $IGV -5.83%
  • $HACK -3.60%
  • $IBB -1.62%
  • $XLK -1.42%
  • $XLY -1.00%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLB $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $IYT
  • Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Materials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS

$KMX short

Faded the gap up and entered when closed below declining 10EMA with MACD confirmation with SL at 49.50 HOD.

Scaled 50% at 39.20 & another at 50% at 39. Left runner on and moved SL to break even.

Catalyst:

Results on 14/04/2026 showed net margins cut in half from 1.8% to 0.9% in a low margin business.

Gross margins and vehicle profit per unit are declining.

This is a low-margin business getting worse, not better.

SA 23/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 8

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 55 cooled off but still elevated

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN +4.30%
  • $SMH +2.62%
  • $IGV +2.38%
  • $XLK +2.20%
  • $XLE +1.20%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS -3.25%
  • $IYT -2.33%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $IYT
  • Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Retail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related or scalps

Should I be trading: Yes, overbought conditions eased with 20% study back below 100

SA 22/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 7

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 65 cooled off but still elevated end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 20

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $HACK +1.59%
  • $XLE +1.45%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS -2.90%
  • $XLU -1.75%
  • $TAN -1.57%
  • $KRE -1.43%
  • $XLI -1.41%
  • $XLV -1.02%
  • $IBB -1.01%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $IYT
  • Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Retail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, overbought conditions eased with 20% study back below 100

SA 21/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 6

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 121 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 63%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $IGV +1.43%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS -1.33%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $KRE
  • Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 76k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Telecoms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days still over 100, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

$CRML long

Showed up in EP1 & EP4 scans on Friday. Entered long as a 9 million EP.

Catalyst:

“Critical Metals boosted its ownership in the Tanbreez rare earth project to 92.5% after acquiring the remaining 50.5% interest it didn’t already own from Rimbal Pty Ltd. Benzinga Critically, the Government of Greenland approved the transfer — which is what really moved the needle, as it cleared the major regulatory hurdle and gave CRML nearly total strategic and operational autonomy over one of the planet’s premier heavy rare-earth deposits. “

“CRML closed Friday at $12.56, up 35.49%, with trading volume reaching 72.8 million shares — about 427% above its three-month average. “