$CRCL short

Entered on breach of upper BB on heavy volume, then got stopped out when it breached HOD.

Notice how the volume is steadily increasing as opposed to a random massive volume spike which typically suggests exhaustion. This was a poor entry from me but one I will learn from. Also the over all market was in a general up day so swimming against the tide.

SA 14/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 1

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 108 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 50%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $IGV +5.40%
  • $HACK +4.37%
  • $XLK +2.10%
  • $XLF +1.75%
  • $IBB +1.66%
  • $SMH +1.48%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLU -1.21%
  • $XLP -1.00 %

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLF $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $KRE
  • Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes, start of earnings season and 1st day moving into a new bullish phase. EP & Sugarbabys.

SA 13/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – Normal normal pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 76 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 45%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $SMH +1.53%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • $HACK -4.85%
  • $IGV -2.57%
  • $IBB -1.62%
  • $XLV -1.35%
  • $KRE -1.30%
  • $XLP -1.29%
  • $XLF -1.09%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLB $XLE
  • Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $KRE
  • Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 71k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & stocks breaking down

Should I be trading: Yes, start of earnings season, EPs & WSS

$CRCL short

Entered when 2nd bar couldn’t break above the opening bar on high volume. Scaled 50% on the opening gap fill where it reversed and got stopped out when it broke above HOD.

Later in the day you can see it breached the upper BB on 2x the avg volume, I wasn’t online but if you had taken that you would have made a low risk 2$ approx.

SA 10/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 107 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 47%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +1.75%
  • $XLY +1.73%
  • $RTH +1.73%
  • $KRE +1.69%
  • $XLI +1.03%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $HACK -5.09%
  • $IGV -3.90% (added to start tracking from today)
  • $TAN -1.37%
  • $XLE -1.24%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLB $XLF
  • Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $KRE
  • Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 72k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & stocks breaking down

Should I be trading: CPI report pre market will create volatility if comes in hot or cold, EPs & WSS

SA 09/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 104 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 44%

VIX: 21

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +5.76%
  • $JETS +5.65%
  • $TAN +3.76%
  • $XLI +3.75%
  • $XLB +3.33%
  • $XTL +3.16%
  • $XLK +3.10%
  • $IYT +3.09%
  • $RTH +2.95%
  • $KRE +2.91%
  • $XLY +2.83%
  • $XLF +2.65%
  • $XLV +2.12%
  • $IBB +1.99%
  • $XLP +1.87%
  • $XLU +1.10%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE -3.51%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLB $IBB
  • Lagging – $XLY $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $KRE
  • Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 71k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & stocks breaking down

Should I be trading: EPs & WSS

SA 08/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – Normal selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 50

Stocks above 40PMA: 32%

VIX: 26

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL +1.56%
  • $HACK +1.47%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLP -1.69%
  • $TAN -1.27%
  • $XLY -1.16%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLE $IBB
  • Lagging – $XLY $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $JETS $IYT

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 72k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, +20% in last 5 days is frothy, so more suited to scalping as opposed to 3 – 5 day shorts.

Should I be trading: EPs & WSS

SA 07/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 62

Stocks above 40PMA: 31%

VIX: 24

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SQQQ: No trend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: No trend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN -1.26%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLE $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLI $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $JETS $IYT

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 69k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst stocks

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Probably

Should I be trading: EPs & WSS