$CRCL short

Entered when 2nd bar couldn’t break above the opening bar on high volume. Scaled 50% on the opening gap fill where it reversed and got stopped out when it broke above HOD.

Later in the day you can see it breached the upper BB on 2x the avg volume, I wasn’t online but if you had taken that you would have made a low risk 2$ approx.

SA 10/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 107 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 47%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +1.75%
  • $XLY +1.73%
  • $RTH +1.73%
  • $KRE +1.69%
  • $XLI +1.03%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $HACK -5.09%
  • $IGV -3.90% (added to start tracking from today)
  • $TAN -1.37%
  • $XLE -1.24%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLB $XLF
  • Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $KRE
  • Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 72k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & stocks breaking down

Should I be trading: CPI report pre market will create volatility if comes in hot or cold, EPs & WSS

SA 09/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 104 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 44%

VIX: 21

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +5.76%
  • $JETS +5.65%
  • $TAN +3.76%
  • $XLI +3.75%
  • $XLB +3.33%
  • $XTL +3.16%
  • $XLK +3.10%
  • $IYT +3.09%
  • $RTH +2.95%
  • $KRE +2.91%
  • $XLY +2.83%
  • $XLF +2.65%
  • $XLV +2.12%
  • $IBB +1.99%
  • $XLP +1.87%
  • $XLU +1.10%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE -3.51%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLB $IBB
  • Lagging – $XLY $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $KRE
  • Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 71k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & stocks breaking down

Should I be trading: EPs & WSS

SA 08/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – Normal selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 50

Stocks above 40PMA: 32%

VIX: 26

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL +1.56%
  • $HACK +1.47%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLP -1.69%
  • $TAN -1.27%
  • $XLY -1.16%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLE $IBB
  • Lagging – $XLY $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $JETS $IYT

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 72k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst based

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, +20% in last 5 days is frothy, so more suited to scalping as opposed to 3 – 5 day shorts.

Should I be trading: EPs & WSS

SA 07/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 62

Stocks above 40PMA: 31%

VIX: 24

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SQQQ: No trend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: No trend

$DIA: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN -1.26%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLE $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLI $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $JETS $IYT

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 69k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Catalyst stocks

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Probably

Should I be trading: EPs & WSS

SA 02/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bearish phase

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 28

Stocks above 40PMA: 25%

VIX: 25

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SQQQ: No trend

$IWM: No trend

$SPY: No trend

$DIA: No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS +2.60%
  • $SMH +2.24%
  • $XLI +1.67%
  • $XLK +1.51%
  • $HACK +1.44%
  • $XTL +1.40%
  • $KRE +1.07%
  • $TAN +1.01%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE -3.74%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLE $IBB
  • Lagging – $XLI $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $TAN
  • Lagging – $JETS $IYT

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 67k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Comms, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Probably

Should I be trading: Futures sold off overnight on Trump Iran news, now we can see if the lows hold or we carry on down