SA 15/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 44

Fridays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 51

Stocks above 40PMA: 50%

VIX: 18

52 week highs (US common stocks): 423

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Downtrend

$SPY: Downtrend

$DIA: No trend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: No trend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: No trend

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $JETS +1.93%
  • $XLB +1.87
  • $SMH +1.72%
  • $KRE +1.47%
  • $XLF +1.37%
  • $TAN +1.17%
  • $XLU +1.09%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLY

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $JETS
  • Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 66k ish

Themes:

Banks
Emerging Markets
Infrastructure
Memory
Regional Banks
EVs
Cyber security
Broad Tech
Cybersecurity
Generative AI
Semiconductors

Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySector / IndustryMkt CapYTDKey CatalystAnalyst Consensus
NVDANVIDIA Corp.Semiconductors$3.5T+~55%Blackwell + Vera Rubin; $1T sales forecast FY26/27; data center rev +75% YoYBUY PT ~$180
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemiconductors$480B+130%AI server chip share gains; MI300X/350 demand; RSI overbought on institutional buyingBUY PT ~$250
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis / Networking$1.1T+40%Custom ASIC for Meta/Alphabet/Apple; 52% revenue growth FY2026 expectedBUY PT ~$280
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.Cloud / Software$3.3T+~20%Azure AI $37B run rate +123% YoY; $627B commercial backlog; $80B Azure demand gapBUY PT ~$520
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.Cloud / Search$2.3T+~28%Google Cloud +63% YoY; $460B backlog; Q1 capex doubled YoY at $35.67BBUY PT ~$225
METAMeta PlatformsSocial / AI$1.5T+~15%Capex raised to $125–145B; Llama AI expansion; personal superintelligence roadmapBUY PT ~$650
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.Cloud / E-Commerce$2.2T+~30%AWS +28% YoY (fastest in 15 qtrs); Trainium chip $10B run rate; $44.2B Q1 capexBUY PT ~$240
TSMTaiwan SemiconductorFoundry$1.0T+~35%68% global foundry share; manufactures chips for NVDA/AMD/AVGO/QCOM; AZ fab rampBUY PT ~$230
ARMArm HoldingsChip IP / Mobile AI$165B+~50%Central to edge AI, mobile AI chips; strongest momentum readings in sectorBUY PT ~$175
VRTVertiv HoldingsData Center Infra$48B+~60%NVDA 800V DC partnership; 34% revenue / 47% EPS growth projected; $9.5B backlogBUY PT ~$140
GEVGE VernovaPower / Grid$115B+~75%$2.4B data center electrification orders in Q1 alone; book-to-bill ~2.5xBUY PT ~$380
CEGConstellation EnergyNuclear Power$80B+~30%Calpine acquisition; nuclear PPAs with Microsoft/Meta; largest US private power producerBUY PT ~$250
ANETArista NetworksNetworking$145B+~40%High-speed AI data center networking; AI Ethernet switching ramp acceleratingBUY PT ~$410
MUMicron TechnologyMemory / Storage$115B+~45%HBM3E memory for AI accelerators; NAND/DRAM AI demand surge; “blowout” guidanceBUY PT ~$120
EQIXEquinix Inc.Data Center REIT$80B+~15%Global co-location; power scarcity driving colocation pricing power; AI expansionBUY PT ~$950
SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETFETF — Broad semiconductor exposure+~45%Pure semiconductor index; VanEck SMH is alternativeHOLD/BUY
AIQGlobal X AI & Tech ETFETF — Diversified AI theme+~35%Covers AI software + hardware; lower vol than individual namesBUY
IGPTInvesco AI & Next Gen SoftwareETF — Hyperscaler + AI software+~30%Strong exposure to NVDA/MSFT/META/AMZN/GOOGL; capex proxyBUY
TickerCompanySector / IndustryMkt CapYTDKey CatalystAnalyst Consensus
SPCXSpaceX (Space Exploration Tech.)Space Launch / Starlink$2T+IPO +19%Largest IPO in history; Starlink revenue; Starship; xAI integration; first-day $161 closeBUY New coverage
RKLBRocket Lab USASpace Launch / Systems$18B+20%+Neutron rocket debut 2026; SDA Tranche 3 prime contractor; 10 Buy / 4 Hold ratingsBUY PT ~$90
ASTSAST SpaceMobileSatellite Comms D2D$22B+~80%BlueBird 8/9/10 mid-June launch; direct-to-smartphone coverage; 8 Buy ratingsBUY High risk
LUNRIntuitive MachinesSpace Infrastructure$3B+~50%NASA Artemis lunar infrastructure contracts; LEO/GEO/lunar cargo capability; closest to EBITDA+BUY PT ~$25
FLYFirefly AerospaceCommercial Launch$4B+~30%SpaceX IPO halo; Alpha rocket cadence building; went public Aug 2025HOLD Speculative
PLPlanet Labs PBCEarth Observation$1.5B+~20%Geospatial intelligence demand; AI-enhanced imagery; growing backlog; 6 Buy ratingsBUY PT ~$8
LMTLockheed MartinAerospace / Defense$115B+~10%Golden Dome prime contractor; F-35 program; $194B backlog; 17x fwd PE — cheapest primeBUY PT ~$620
NOCNorthrop GrummanAerospace / Defense$65B+~8%B-21 Raider; Sentinel ICBM; James Webb heritage; Golden Dome prime contractor; CygnusBUY PT ~$530
RTXRTX CorporationDefense / Aerospace$175B+~12%Patriot / NASAMS missile defense; Ukraine resupply; largest defense order book in industryBUY PT ~$135
LHXL3Harris TechnologiesDefense / Space Sensors$48B+~10%GPS nav payloads; missile warning sensors; Aerojet propulsion (acquired 2023); SDA contractsBUY PT ~$250
KTOSKratos Defense & SecurityDefense / Drones$5B+~35%Drone disruption thesis; tactical unmanned systems; strongest combined fundamentals among high-growth defenseBUY PT ~$38
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesDefense AI / Analytics$280B+~60%AIP platform DoD contracts; Space Symposium presence; AI operations at scale for militaryBUY PT ~$125
YSSYork Space SystemsSatellite ManufacturingSmall Cap+~20%Went public Jan 2026; SpaceX IPO halo; SDA satellite contracts; fast-production bus modelHOLD Speculative
LDOSLeidos HoldingsDefense IT / Space$25B+~8%Largest defense IT provider; space and intelligence systems integration; stable dividend growthBUY PT ~$170
BKSYBlackSky TechnologySpace Intelligence$0.8B+~25%Geospatial analytics + real-time satellite imagery; DoD intel contracts; AI image analysisBUY High risk
ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFETF — Defense primes with space divisions+~12%Holds LMT, RTX, NOC, GD, BA, LHX; stability playBUY
XARSPDR Aerospace & Defense ETFETF — Equal-weight; more space exposure+~15%Higher weighting to RKLB and smaller space names vs ITABUY
ROKTSPDR S&P Kensho Final FrontiersETF — Space + deep sea exploration+~20%Purer space exposure; includes Boeing/Lockheed/Northrop/L3Harris/MaxarHOLD/BUY

Are breakouts working: No

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Maybe

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Depends if the overnight signed Iran deal turns out to be a sell the news event.

Should I be trading: Expecting sideways chop until we get an 800+ breadth day, in this environment EP9 mil will be my focus.

SA 12/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 43

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 25

Stocks above 40PMA: 46%

VIX: 19

52 week highs (US common stocks): 386

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Downtrend

$SPY: Downtrend

$DIA: No trend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Uptrend

$UVIX: Uptrend

$TLT: No trend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +6.75%
  • $JETS +6.31%
  • $TAN +5.31%
  • $XTL +4.42%
  • $XLK +3.73%
  • $IYT +3.47%
  • $XLB +3.27%
  • $XLI +3.24%
  • $IBB +2.75%
  • $HACK +2.68%
  • $XLY +2.48%
  • $TLT +1.30%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE -1.94%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLY

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $JETS
  • Lagging – $TAN $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Themes:

Generative AI
Semiconductors
Cyber security
Broad Tech
Space
Cloud Computing
Solar
Clean Energy
Software
Memory
Cybersecurity

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySector / IndustryMkt CapYTD ReturnKey CatalystAnalyst
NVDANvidia Corp.Semis — GPU / AI Accelerators~$8T+38%Blackwell ramp; Jensen “next trillion-dollar co.” call on MRVL; Vera Rubin roadmapStrong Buy ~$265 PT
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis — Custom ASIC / Networking~$2.3T+40%Q2 beat: AI rev $10.8B (+143% YoY); Q3 guided $16B AI rev; $56B FY26 targetBuy ~$520 PT
MRVLMarvell Technology Inc.Semis — Custom Silicon / Networking~$750B+141%Jensen Huang called it “next trillion-dollar co.” at Computex; custom XPU rampsStrong Buy ~$140 PT
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemis — GPU / Data Center CPU~$450B+22%MI350X ramp; enterprise AI expansion; cloud CPU share gains vs IntelBuy ~$220 PT
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg.Semis — Foundry (2nm / 3nm)~$1.1T+28%Bernstein PT raised $351→$430; sole 2nm/3nm supplier for NVDA, AVGO, MRVLStrong Buy ~$430 PT
ANETArista NetworksNetworking — AI Cluster Ethernet~$180B+30%Q1 2026: net sales +30% YoY; organic growth +23%; AI cluster backend networkingBuy ~$460 PT
MUMicron TechnologySemis — HBM3E / DRAM / NAND~$280B+18%HBM3E capacity sold out through 2026; net income projected $66.8B in 2026Buy ~$165 PT
VRTVertiv HoldingsData Center Infra — Cooling / Power~$60B+45%Q1 organic orders +81% YoY; $15B backlog; S&P 500 addition; NVDA co-dev dealBuy ~$160 PT
GEVGE VernovaPower Infrastructure — Grid / Electrical~$110B+178%$2.4B Q1 data center electrification orders; book-to-bill ~2.5; grid backlog surgeBuy ~$600 PT
ETNEaton Corp.Power Mgmt — Electrical Systems~$150B+22%Electrical Americas backlog +48%; transformer lead times >2 years; data center infraBuy ~$410 PT
CEGConstellation EnergyUtilities — Nuclear Baseload AI Power~$90B+25%Calpine acquisition closed Jan 2026; PPAs with Microsoft, Meta; Three Mile Island restartBuy ~$330 PT
CRWVCoreWeave Inc.Cloud — GPU-as-a-Service~$130BIPO 2026Recent IPO; largest independent GPU cloud; hyperscaler overflow demand beneficiaryBuy ~$65 PT
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software — Government / Enterprise~$380B+55%AIP adoption acceleration; DoD AI contract wins; enterprise AIP platform expansionHold/Buy ~$120 PT
SMCISuper Micro ComputerAI Servers — Liquid Cooled Rack Scale~$20B-30%NVDA Vera Rubin NVL72 platform; $2B Gorilla Tech deal; Helios platform launchHold ~$38 PT
LRCXLam ResearchSemis — Wafer Fab Equipment~$110B+15%HBM capacity buildout driving etch/deposition tool spend; DRAM cycle tailwindBuy ~$1,050 PT

Are breakouts working: No

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Maybe nearly 700+ breadth thrust in 20% study

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Maybe

Should I be trading: Will just observe today don’t wont to take any new longs into the weekend, SpaceX IPO today.

SA 11/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 42

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – normal selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 14

Stocks above 40PMA: 42%

VIX: 22

52 week highs (US common stocks): 288

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Downtrend

$SPY: Downtrend

$DIA: No trend

$IWM: Downtrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Uptrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT: No trend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XLP +1.65%
  • $XLE +1.50%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS -4.59%
  • $TAN -4.32%
  • $SMH -3.40%
  • $XLI -3.38%
  • $IYT -3.14%
  • $XLB -2.30%
  • $XLK -2.29%
  • $XLY -2.05%
  • $IBB -2.03%
  • $IGV -1.47%
  • $XLV -1.11%
  • $HACK -1.04%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLE $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLY

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $IYT
  • Lagging – $TAN $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Themes:

Generative AI
Semiconductors
Cyber security
Broad Tech
Space
Cloud Computing
Solar
Clean Energy
Software
Memory
Cybersecurity

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySector / IndustryMkt CapYTD ReturnKey CatalystAnalyst
NVDANvidia Corp.Semis — GPU / AI Accelerators~$8T+38%Blackwell ramp; Jensen “next trillion-dollar co.” call on MRVL; Vera Rubin roadmapStrong Buy ~$265 PT
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis — Custom ASIC / Networking~$2.3T+40%Q2 beat: AI rev $10.8B (+143% YoY); Q3 guided $16B AI rev; $56B FY26 targetBuy ~$520 PT
MRVLMarvell Technology Inc.Semis — Custom Silicon / Networking~$750B+141%Jensen Huang called it “next trillion-dollar co.” at Computex; custom XPU rampsStrong Buy ~$140 PT
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemis — GPU / Data Center CPU~$450B+22%MI350X ramp; enterprise AI expansion; cloud CPU share gains vs IntelBuy ~$220 PT
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg.Semis — Foundry (2nm / 3nm)~$1.1T+28%Bernstein PT raised $351→$430; sole 2nm/3nm supplier for NVDA, AVGO, MRVLStrong Buy ~$430 PT
ANETArista NetworksNetworking — AI Cluster Ethernet~$180B+30%Q1 2026: net sales +30% YoY; organic growth +23%; AI cluster backend networkingBuy ~$460 PT
MUMicron TechnologySemis — HBM3E / DRAM / NAND~$280B+18%HBM3E capacity sold out through 2026; net income projected $66.8B in 2026Buy ~$165 PT
VRTVertiv HoldingsData Center Infra — Cooling / Power~$60B+45%Q1 organic orders +81% YoY; $15B backlog; S&P 500 addition; NVDA co-dev dealBuy ~$160 PT
GEVGE VernovaPower Infrastructure — Grid / Electrical~$110B+178%$2.4B Q1 data center electrification orders; book-to-bill ~2.5; grid backlog surgeBuy ~$600 PT
ETNEaton Corp.Power Mgmt — Electrical Systems~$150B+22%Electrical Americas backlog +48%; transformer lead times >2 years; data center infraBuy ~$410 PT
CEGConstellation EnergyUtilities — Nuclear Baseload AI Power~$90B+25%Calpine acquisition closed Jan 2026; PPAs with Microsoft, Meta; Three Mile Island restartBuy ~$330 PT
CRWVCoreWeave Inc.Cloud — GPU-as-a-Service~$130BIPO 2026Recent IPO; largest independent GPU cloud; hyperscaler overflow demand beneficiaryBuy ~$65 PT
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software — Government / Enterprise~$380B+55%AIP adoption acceleration; DoD AI contract wins; enterprise AIP platform expansionHold/Buy ~$120 PT
SMCISuper Micro ComputerAI Servers — Liquid Cooled Rack Scale~$20B-30%NVDA Vera Rubin NVL72 platform; $2B Gorilla Tech deal; Helios platform launchHold ~$38 PT
LRCXLam ResearchSemis — Wafer Fab Equipment~$110B+15%HBM capacity buildout driving etch/deposition tool spend; DRAM cycle tailwindBuy ~$1,050 PT

Are breakouts working: No, my main focus is Tech and there is a steady rotation out of tech taking place under the surface

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes from proper setups

Should I be trading: WSS short only from proper setups which will take a few days, looking for a 4% bullish 800+ day in the next 2 – 4 weeks before considering anything long.

SA 10/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 42

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 7

Stocks above 40PMA: 44%

VIX: 20

52 week highs (US common stocks): 306

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Downtrend

$SPY: Downtrend

$DIA: No trend

$IWM: Downtrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: No trend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT: No trend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS +3.10%
  • $XLB +1.62%
  • $IBB +1.46%
  • $IYT +1.34%
  • $XLV +1.26%
  • $KRE +1.25%
  • $XLP +1.24%
  • $XLI +1.13%
  • $XLU +1.06%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL -3.33%
  • $IGV -2.82%
  • $TAN -2.75%
  • $XLK -1.85%
  • $HACK -1.75%
  • $XLE -1.61%
  • $SMH -1.20%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLY

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 61k ish

Themes:

Generative AI
Semiconductors
Cyber security
Broad Tech
Space
Cloud Computing
Solar
Clean Energy
Software
Memory
Cybersecurity

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySector / IndustryMkt CapYTD ReturnKey CatalystAnalyst
NVDANvidia Corp.Semis — GPU / AI Accelerators~$8T+38%Blackwell ramp; Jensen “next trillion-dollar co.” call on MRVL; Vera Rubin roadmapStrong Buy ~$265 PT
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis — Custom ASIC / Networking~$2.3T+40%Q2 beat: AI rev $10.8B (+143% YoY); Q3 guided $16B AI rev; $56B FY26 targetBuy ~$520 PT
MRVLMarvell Technology Inc.Semis — Custom Silicon / Networking~$750B+141%Jensen Huang called it “next trillion-dollar co.” at Computex; custom XPU rampsStrong Buy ~$140 PT
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemis — GPU / Data Center CPU~$450B+22%MI350X ramp; enterprise AI expansion; cloud CPU share gains vs IntelBuy ~$220 PT
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg.Semis — Foundry (2nm / 3nm)~$1.1T+28%Bernstein PT raised $351→$430; sole 2nm/3nm supplier for NVDA, AVGO, MRVLStrong Buy ~$430 PT
ANETArista NetworksNetworking — AI Cluster Ethernet~$180B+30%Q1 2026: net sales +30% YoY; organic growth +23%; AI cluster backend networkingBuy ~$460 PT
MUMicron TechnologySemis — HBM3E / DRAM / NAND~$280B+18%HBM3E capacity sold out through 2026; net income projected $66.8B in 2026Buy ~$165 PT
VRTVertiv HoldingsData Center Infra — Cooling / Power~$60B+45%Q1 organic orders +81% YoY; $15B backlog; S&P 500 addition; NVDA co-dev dealBuy ~$160 PT
GEVGE VernovaPower Infrastructure — Grid / Electrical~$110B+178%$2.4B Q1 data center electrification orders; book-to-bill ~2.5; grid backlog surgeBuy ~$600 PT
ETNEaton Corp.Power Mgmt — Electrical Systems~$150B+22%Electrical Americas backlog +48%; transformer lead times >2 years; data center infraBuy ~$410 PT
CEGConstellation EnergyUtilities — Nuclear Baseload AI Power~$90B+25%Calpine acquisition closed Jan 2026; PPAs with Microsoft, Meta; Three Mile Island restartBuy ~$330 PT
CRWVCoreWeave Inc.Cloud — GPU-as-a-Service~$130BIPO 2026Recent IPO; largest independent GPU cloud; hyperscaler overflow demand beneficiaryBuy ~$65 PT
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software — Government / Enterprise~$380B+55%AIP adoption acceleration; DoD AI contract wins; enterprise AIP platform expansionHold/Buy ~$120 PT
SMCISuper Micro ComputerAI Servers — Liquid Cooled Rack Scale~$20B-30%NVDA Vera Rubin NVL72 platform; $2B Gorilla Tech deal; Helios platform launchHold ~$38 PT
LRCXLam ResearchSemis — Wafer Fab Equipment~$110B+15%HBM capacity buildout driving etch/deposition tool spend; DRAM cycle tailwindBuy ~$1,050 PT

Are breakouts working: No

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes from proper setups

Should I be trading: WSS short only from proper setups which will take a few days, looking for a 4% bullish 800+ day in the next 2 – 4 weeks before considering anything long.

SA 09/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 41

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -30

Stocks above 40PMA: 40%

VIX: 19

52 week highs (US common stocks): 249

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Downtrend

$SPY: Downtrend

$DIA: No trend

$IWM: Downtrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: No trend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT: No trend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +5.00%
  • $XLK +2.15%
  • $XLE +1.14%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLU -1.87%
  • $XLB -1.32%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLB

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Themes:

Generative AI
Semiconductors
Cyber security
Broad Tech
Space
Cloud Computing
Solar
Clean Energy
Software
Memory
Cybersecurity

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySector / IndustryMkt CapYTD ReturnKey CatalystAnalyst
NVDANvidia Corp.Semis — GPU / AI Accelerators~$8T+38%Blackwell ramp; Jensen “next trillion-dollar co.” call on MRVL; Vera Rubin roadmapStrong Buy ~$265 PT
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis — Custom ASIC / Networking~$2.3T+40%Q2 beat: AI rev $10.8B (+143% YoY); Q3 guided $16B AI rev; $56B FY26 targetBuy ~$520 PT
MRVLMarvell Technology Inc.Semis — Custom Silicon / Networking~$750B+141%Jensen Huang called it “next trillion-dollar co.” at Computex; custom XPU rampsStrong Buy ~$140 PT
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemis — GPU / Data Center CPU~$450B+22%MI350X ramp; enterprise AI expansion; cloud CPU share gains vs IntelBuy ~$220 PT
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg.Semis — Foundry (2nm / 3nm)~$1.1T+28%Bernstein PT raised $351→$430; sole 2nm/3nm supplier for NVDA, AVGO, MRVLStrong Buy ~$430 PT
ANETArista NetworksNetworking — AI Cluster Ethernet~$180B+30%Q1 2026: net sales +30% YoY; organic growth +23%; AI cluster backend networkingBuy ~$460 PT
MUMicron TechnologySemis — HBM3E / DRAM / NAND~$280B+18%HBM3E capacity sold out through 2026; net income projected $66.8B in 2026Buy ~$165 PT
VRTVertiv HoldingsData Center Infra — Cooling / Power~$60B+45%Q1 organic orders +81% YoY; $15B backlog; S&P 500 addition; NVDA co-dev dealBuy ~$160 PT
GEVGE VernovaPower Infrastructure — Grid / Electrical~$110B+178%$2.4B Q1 data center electrification orders; book-to-bill ~2.5; grid backlog surgeBuy ~$600 PT
ETNEaton Corp.Power Mgmt — Electrical Systems~$150B+22%Electrical Americas backlog +48%; transformer lead times >2 years; data center infraBuy ~$410 PT
CEGConstellation EnergyUtilities — Nuclear Baseload AI Power~$90B+25%Calpine acquisition closed Jan 2026; PPAs with Microsoft, Meta; Three Mile Island restartBuy ~$330 PT
CRWVCoreWeave Inc.Cloud — GPU-as-a-Service~$130BIPO 2026Recent IPO; largest independent GPU cloud; hyperscaler overflow demand beneficiaryBuy ~$65 PT
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software — Government / Enterprise~$380B+55%AIP adoption acceleration; DoD AI contract wins; enterprise AIP platform expansionHold/Buy ~$120 PT
SMCISuper Micro ComputerAI Servers — Liquid Cooled Rack Scale~$20B-30%NVDA Vera Rubin NVL72 platform; $2B Gorilla Tech deal; Helios platform launchHold ~$38 PT
LRCXLam ResearchSemis — Wafer Fab Equipment~$110B+15%HBM capacity buildout driving etch/deposition tool spend; DRAM cycle tailwindBuy ~$1,050 PT

Are breakouts working: No

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Probably but need to setup after such a big move down

Should I be trading: WSS short only from proper setups which will take a few days, looking for a 4% bullish 800+ day in the next 2 – 4 weeks before considering anything long.

SA 08/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 40

Fridays market: Money leaving the market – very high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -28

Stocks above 40PMA: 40%

VIX: 22

52 week highs (US common stocks): 264

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: No trend

$SPY: No trend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: No trend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT: No trend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: No trend

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $XLP +1.71%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • $SMH -9.22%
  • $TAN -9.07%
  • $XLK -6.66%
  • $XTL -5.71%
  • $IGV -4.21%
  • $HACK -3.80%
  • $XLY -2.05%
  • $XLB -1.92%
  • $XLE -1.84%
  • $IBB -1.74%
  • $XLI -1.12%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLE

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 60k ish

Themes:

Generative AI
Semiconductors
Cyber security
Broad Tech
Space
Cloud Computing
Solar
Clean Energy
Software
Memory
Cybersecurity

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySector / IndustryMkt CapYTD ReturnKey CatalystAnalyst
NVDANvidia Corp.Semis — GPU / AI Accelerators~$8T+38%Blackwell ramp; Jensen “next trillion-dollar co.” call on MRVL; Vera Rubin roadmapStrong Buy ~$265 PT
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis — Custom ASIC / Networking~$2.3T+40%Q2 beat: AI rev $10.8B (+143% YoY); Q3 guided $16B AI rev; $56B FY26 targetBuy ~$520 PT
MRVLMarvell Technology Inc.Semis — Custom Silicon / Networking~$750B+141%Jensen Huang called it “next trillion-dollar co.” at Computex; custom XPU rampsStrong Buy ~$140 PT
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemis — GPU / Data Center CPU~$450B+22%MI350X ramp; enterprise AI expansion; cloud CPU share gains vs IntelBuy ~$220 PT
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg.Semis — Foundry (2nm / 3nm)~$1.1T+28%Bernstein PT raised $351→$430; sole 2nm/3nm supplier for NVDA, AVGO, MRVLStrong Buy ~$430 PT
ANETArista NetworksNetworking — AI Cluster Ethernet~$180B+30%Q1 2026: net sales +30% YoY; organic growth +23%; AI cluster backend networkingBuy ~$460 PT
MUMicron TechnologySemis — HBM3E / DRAM / NAND~$280B+18%HBM3E capacity sold out through 2026; net income projected $66.8B in 2026Buy ~$165 PT
VRTVertiv HoldingsData Center Infra — Cooling / Power~$60B+45%Q1 organic orders +81% YoY; $15B backlog; S&P 500 addition; NVDA co-dev dealBuy ~$160 PT
GEVGE VernovaPower Infrastructure — Grid / Electrical~$110B+178%$2.4B Q1 data center electrification orders; book-to-bill ~2.5; grid backlog surgeBuy ~$600 PT
ETNEaton Corp.Power Mgmt — Electrical Systems~$150B+22%Electrical Americas backlog +48%; transformer lead times >2 years; data center infraBuy ~$410 PT
CEGConstellation EnergyUtilities — Nuclear Baseload AI Power~$90B+25%Calpine acquisition closed Jan 2026; PPAs with Microsoft, Meta; Three Mile Island restartBuy ~$330 PT
CRWVCoreWeave Inc.Cloud — GPU-as-a-Service~$130BIPO 2026Recent IPO; largest independent GPU cloud; hyperscaler overflow demand beneficiaryBuy ~$65 PT
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software — Government / Enterprise~$380B+55%AIP adoption acceleration; DoD AI contract wins; enterprise AIP platform expansionHold/Buy ~$120 PT
SMCISuper Micro ComputerAI Servers — Liquid Cooled Rack Scale~$20B-30%NVDA Vera Rubin NVL72 platform; $2B Gorilla Tech deal; Helios platform launchHold ~$38 PT
LRCXLam ResearchSemis — Wafer Fab Equipment~$110B+15%HBM capacity buildout driving etch/deposition tool spend; DRAM cycle tailwindBuy ~$1,050 PT

Are breakouts working: No

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Probably but need to setup after such a big move down

Should I be trading: WSS short only from proper setups which will take a few days, Friday was a 4% bearish 800+ day, look for a 4% bullish 800+ day in the next 2 – 4 weeks before considering anything long.

SA 05/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 39

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 0

Stocks above 40PMA: 45%

VIX: 15

52 week highs (US common stocks): 318

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $KRE +3.09%
  • $XLV +3.07%
  • $XLF +2.59%
  • $IBB +2.35%
  • $XLI +1.21%
  • $RTH +1.02%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH -1.63%
  • $XLK -1.56%
  • $HACK -1.05%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $TLT $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Themes: AI GPU & Accelerators, Custom AI Silicon (ASICs), AI Networking & Interconnects, Optical Photonics & Bandwidth, Semiconductor Capital Equipment, Hyperscaler Cloud Platforms, AI Data Cloud & Analytics, Enterprise Agentic AI Software, AI Memory (HBM), Government & Defense AI

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySectorMkt CapYTDKey CatalystAnalyst View
NVDANVIDIA Corp.Semiconductors~$2.6T~+25%Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guidedStrong Buy ~$175
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis/Networking~$2.0T+23%Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chipsBuy BofA/MS top pick
MRVLMarvell TechnologyAI Networking~$95B+100%+$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pickBuy ~$120+
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemiconductors~$350B+40%+CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI acceleratorsOutperform Evercore
MUMicron TechnologyMemory/AI~$800B++100%+HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrainedStrong Buy
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.Cloud/AI Software~$3.1T~+15%Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetizationBuy ~$415
SNOWSnowflake Inc.Data/AI Cloud~$80B+60%+Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS dealOutperform $275–$295
NOWServiceNow Inc.Enterprise AI~$220B~+30%Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AIBuy premium multiple
ORCLOracle Corp.Cloud/AI Infra~$580B+7%$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW dayBuy ~$204
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software/Gov~$180B~+50%AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating weekHold/Buy high premium
CSCOCisco Systems Inc.AI Networking~$240B~+20%Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demandBuy
AMATApplied MaterialsSemiconductor Equip~$180B~+20%BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildoutOutperform
LRCXLam Research Corp.Semiconductor Equip~$110B~+15%Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiaryBuy
LITELumentum HoldingsOptical/Photonics~$8B+121%Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per TickeronBuy
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.Hyperscaler/AI~$2.4T~+12%TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue accelerationBuy ~$387
SOXXiShares Semis ETFETF+35%+Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCXETF — diversified
SMHVanEck Semis ETFETF+35%+Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquidETF — diversified
IGViShares Exp. Tech-Software ETFETF+21% May aloneEnterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTRETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: No, starting to test / pull back into their breakouts

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended stocks & weak sectors

Should I be trading: Pullback is starting, only strong cat based longs or WSS shorts

SA 04/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 38

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -46

Stocks above 40PMA: 39%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 267

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $IBB +1.97%
  • $XLE +1.29%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $IGV -4.33%
  • $XTL -3.76%
  • $HACK -3.00%
  • $TAN -2.74%
  • $KRE -2.39%
  • $JETS -2.35%
  • $XLF -1.15%
  • $XLK -1.00%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish

Themes: AI GPU & Accelerators, Custom AI Silicon (ASICs), AI Networking & Interconnects, Optical Photonics & Bandwidth, Semiconductor Capital Equipment, Hyperscaler Cloud Platforms, AI Data Cloud & Analytics, Enterprise Agentic AI Software, AI Memory (HBM), Government & Defense AI

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySectorMkt CapYTDKey CatalystAnalyst View
NVDANVIDIA Corp.Semiconductors~$2.6T~+25%Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guidedStrong Buy ~$175
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis/Networking~$2.0T+23%Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chipsBuy BofA/MS top pick
MRVLMarvell TechnologyAI Networking~$95B+100%+$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pickBuy ~$120+
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemiconductors~$350B+40%+CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI acceleratorsOutperform Evercore
MUMicron TechnologyMemory/AI~$800B++100%+HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrainedStrong Buy
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.Cloud/AI Software~$3.1T~+15%Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetizationBuy ~$415
SNOWSnowflake Inc.Data/AI Cloud~$80B+60%+Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS dealOutperform $275–$295
NOWServiceNow Inc.Enterprise AI~$220B~+30%Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AIBuy premium multiple
ORCLOracle Corp.Cloud/AI Infra~$580B+7%$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW dayBuy ~$204
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software/Gov~$180B~+50%AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating weekHold/Buy high premium
CSCOCisco Systems Inc.AI Networking~$240B~+20%Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demandBuy
AMATApplied MaterialsSemiconductor Equip~$180B~+20%BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildoutOutperform
LRCXLam Research Corp.Semiconductor Equip~$110B~+15%Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiaryBuy
LITELumentum HoldingsOptical/Photonics~$8B+121%Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per TickeronBuy
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.Hyperscaler/AI~$2.4T~+12%TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue accelerationBuy ~$387
SOXXiShares Semis ETFETF+35%+Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCXETF — diversified
SMHVanEck Semis ETFETF+35%+Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquidETF — diversified
IGViShares Exp. Tech-Software ETFETF+21% May aloneEnterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTRETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: No starting to fail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended stocks & weak sectors

Should I be trading: Pullback is starting, only strong cat based longs or WSS shorts

SA 03/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 37

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -4

Stocks above 40PMA: 45%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 304

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: Downtrend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +4.01%
  • $XTL +3.28%
  • $XLU +1.86%
  • $KRE +1.80%
  • $TAN +1.60%
  • $XLK +1.25%
  • $XLB +1.18%
  • $XLE +1.15%
  • $XLI +1.04%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $IBB -3.01%
  • $IGV -2.76%
  • $JETS -1.49%
  • $IYT -1.00%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLB
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 67k ish

Themes: AI GPU & Accelerators, Custom AI Silicon (ASICs), AI Networking & Interconnects, Optical Photonics & Bandwidth, Semiconductor Capital Equipment, Hyperscaler Cloud Platforms, AI Data Cloud & Analytics, Enterprise Agentic AI Software, AI Memory (HBM), Government & Defense AI

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySectorMkt CapYTDKey CatalystAnalyst View
NVDANVIDIA Corp.Semiconductors~$2.6T~+25%Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guidedStrong Buy ~$175
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis/Networking~$2.0T+23%Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chipsBuy BofA/MS top pick
MRVLMarvell TechnologyAI Networking~$95B+100%+$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pickBuy ~$120+
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemiconductors~$350B+40%+CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI acceleratorsOutperform Evercore
MUMicron TechnologyMemory/AI~$800B++100%+HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrainedStrong Buy
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.Cloud/AI Software~$3.1T~+15%Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetizationBuy ~$415
SNOWSnowflake Inc.Data/AI Cloud~$80B+60%+Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS dealOutperform $275–$295
NOWServiceNow Inc.Enterprise AI~$220B~+30%Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AIBuy premium multiple
ORCLOracle Corp.Cloud/AI Infra~$580B+7%$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW dayBuy ~$204
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software/Gov~$180B~+50%AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating weekHold/Buy high premium
CSCOCisco Systems Inc.AI Networking~$240B~+20%Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demandBuy
AMATApplied MaterialsSemiconductor Equip~$180B~+20%BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildoutOutperform
LRCXLam Research Corp.Semiconductor Equip~$110B~+15%Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiaryBuy
LITELumentum HoldingsOptical/Photonics~$8B+121%Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per TickeronBuy
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.Hyperscaler/AI~$2.4T~+12%TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue accelerationBuy ~$387
SOXXiShares Semis ETFETF+35%+Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCXETF — diversified
SMHVanEck Semis ETFETF+35%+Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquidETF — diversified
IGViShares Exp. Tech-Software ETFETF+21% May aloneEnterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTRETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: Selectively

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study is just over 100, anything over 100 is frothy so risk to the long side still elevated

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: No new longs with 20% study elevated unless exceptional catalyst

SA 02/06/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 36

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -13

Stocks above 40PMA: 44%

VIX: 16

52 week highs (US common stocks): 232

Seasonality: June is likely to be choppy-to-weak, consistent with the broader H1 softness of a midterm year. Volatility should remain elevated. However, any meaningful June weakness could represent a buying opportunity for traders positioned for the historically strong Q4 midterm rally into November elections. The real pain point seasonality points to is September–October, not June — so June may be more of a sideways grind than a sharp decline.

As always — these are probabilistic patterns, not guarantees. Macro factors (Fed policy, tariff developments, earnings) can and do override seasonal tendencies.

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$BTC: Downtrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT: Uptrend

$GLD: No trend

$SLV: Downtrend

$SLX: Uptrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $IGV +5.94%
  • $HACK +5.69%
  • $XLK +2.48%
  • $XLE +1.79%
  • $SMH +1.48%
  • $IYT +1.23%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN -3.79%
  • $XLU -2.97%
  • $XLY -2.22%
  • $KRE -1.87%
  • $RTH -1.82%
  • $IBB -1.63%
  • $XLV -1.09%
  • $XLP -1.06%
  • $JETS -1.33%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLE

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $HACK $SMH
  • Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 70k ish

Themes: AI GPU & Accelerators, Custom AI Silicon (ASICs), AI Networking & Interconnects, Optical Photonics & Bandwidth, Semiconductor Capital Equipment, Hyperscaler Cloud Platforms, AI Data Cloud & Analytics, Enterprise Agentic AI Software, AI Memory (HBM), Government & Defense AI

Top 15 thematic stocks:

TickerCompanySectorMkt CapYTDKey CatalystAnalyst View
NVDANVIDIA Corp.Semiconductors~$2.6T~+25%Data center GPU dominance; 70% rev growth guidedStrong Buy ~$175
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Semis/Networking~$2.0T+23%Q2 FY26 earnings June 3; custom AI silicon for hyperscalers; Wi-Fi 8 chipsBuy BofA/MS top pick
MRVLMarvell TechnologyAI Networking~$95B+100%+$2B Nvidia strategic deal; Ethernet switches for AI clusters; BofA “AI compute” pickBuy ~$120+
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesSemiconductors~$350B+40%+CPU renaissance; server market share gains vs Intel; MI300X AI acceleratorsOutperform Evercore
MUMicron TechnologyMemory/AI~$800B++100%+HBM3E AI memory; customers getting only 50-66% of requirements; supply-constrainedStrong Buy
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.Cloud/AI Software~$3.1T~+15%Azure AI growth; Microsoft Build 2026 dev event; Copilot monetizationBuy ~$415
SNOWSnowflake Inc.Data/AI Cloud~$80B+60%+Q1 beat; AI accounts 9,100→13,600 in one quarter; Cortex Code; $6B AWS dealOutperform $275–$295
NOWServiceNow Inc.Enterprise AI~$220B~+30%Agentic AI workflows; gained 5% on Snowflake coattails; “poster child” for enterprise AIBuy premium multiple
ORCLOracle Corp.Cloud/AI Infra~$580B+7%$553B remaining performance obligations (+325%); AI infra prepayments; gained 6.8% on SNOW dayBuy ~$204
PLTRPalantir TechnologiesAI Software/Gov~$180B~+50%AIP platform; government & enterprise AI; surged 6–8% on software re-rating weekHold/Buy high premium
CSCOCisco Systems Inc.AI Networking~$240B~+20%Record Q3 revenue $15.8B (+AI networking); raised full-year outlook; hyperscaler demandBuy
AMATApplied MaterialsSemiconductor Equip~$180B~+20%BofA top 8 AI beneficiary; wafer fabrication equipment demand; AI node buildoutOutperform
LRCXLam Research Corp.Semiconductor Equip~$110B~+15%Etch/deposition tools critical for AI chip layers; capex cycle beneficiaryBuy
LITELumentum HoldingsOptical/Photonics~$8B+121%Photonics solves AI data center bandwidth bottleneck; all-time gains of 855%+ per TickeronBuy
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.Hyperscaler/AI~$2.4T~+12%TPU AI chips (Broadcom partnership); Gemini AI; Google Cloud revenue accelerationBuy ~$387
SOXXiShares Semis ETFETF+35%+Broad semiconductor exposure; NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MU, MRVL, AMAT, LRCXETF — diversified
SMHVanEck Semis ETFETF+35%+Similar to SOXX; largest AI chip names; liquidETF — diversified
IGViShares Exp. Tech-Software ETFETF+21% May aloneEnterprise software re-rating; SNOW, NOW, ORCL, CRM, MSFT, PLTRETF — best month since 2001

Are breakouts working: Yes

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: The 20% study is very elevated at 156, anything over 100 is frothy so expecting a pull back in the coming days

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: No new longs with 20% study elevated