2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 17

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -35

Stocks above 40PMA: 55%

VIX: 18

52 week highs (US common stocks): 199

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: No trend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IGV +2.09%
$IBB +1.73%
$HACK +1.60%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$IYT -3.95%
$TAN -1.50%
$XLB -1.36%
$JETS -1.32%
$XTL -1.23%
$KRE -1.19%
$XLI -1.14%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLB $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IGV
Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 81k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics, Energy

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes EPs SoS

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

SA 01/05/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 15

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Very high buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -21

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 17

52 week highs (US common stocks): 295

Seasonality: May is typically a weaker month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: No trend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XTL +5.28%
$TAN +4.08%
$XLI +2.74%
$XLU +2.56%
$XLV +2.21%
$IBB +2.00%
$JETS +1.97%
$XLP +1.68%
$IYT +1.60%
$SMH +1.43%
$RTH +1.37%
$XLY +1.29%
$KRE +1.19%
$XLE +1.05%
$XLB +1.00%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$HACK -1.57%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $IBB $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 77k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics, Energy

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes EPs SoS

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

SA 30/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 13

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: -27.41

Stocks above 40PMA: 55%

VIX: 19

52 week highs (US common stocks): 192

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: No trend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: No trend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XLE +2.29%
$XTL +1.81%
$SMH +1.70%
$HACK +1.64%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$TAN -2.60%
$KRE -1.90%
$IBB -1.45%
$JETS -1.38%
$XLU -1.23%
$IYT -1.11%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $IBB $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $HACK
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 76k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, AI, Robotics, Energy

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Extended & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes following trade plan

$CRML long

Had news catalyst pre market and was breaking higher on big volume, entered on break of opening 3m bar, with SL set just below opening gap lows.

You can see it filled its opening gap & then took off for the rest of the day to close +25%.

I got stopped out at 11.75 and missed the big move.

Looking above you can see gap filled and a high vol bar, this is where it reversed and never looked back.

Looking at the chart now I can see I bought it when it was above the upper BB so I should have expected to come back in. Dont enter a trade when above upper BB, some times you might miss it but plenty of other opportunities. Also if something I think is a long but its gap filling keep an eye on it to see if it takes off after the gap fill like the above.

SA 28/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 11

Yesterdays market: Money coming into the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 36

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: No trend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$KRE +1.71%
$HACK +1.09%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -1.81%
$XTL -1.58%
$XLP -1.07%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 77k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, Transports, AI, Robotics

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS, lots of the MAG7 report this week so will likely dictate direction, see if good earnings get rewarded or sold.

SA 27/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 10

Yesterdays market: Money coming into the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 35

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: No trend

$TLT No trend

1%+ sectors Friday:

$SMH +5.10%
$XLK +2.81%
$IGV +1.95%
$JETS +1.09%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$KRE -1.59%
$XLV -1.41%
$IBB -1.02%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLV

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Tech, Semis, Transports

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS, lots of the MAG7 report this week so will likely dictate direction, see if good earnings get rewarded or sold.

SA 24/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 9

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 43

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$TAN +2.75%
$XLU +2.72%
$XLI +1.77%
$IYT +1.72%
$XLP +1.67%
$XLE +1.20%
$KRE +1.08%
$SMH +1.05%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$IGV -5.83%
$HACK -3.60%
$IBB -1.62%
$XLK -1.42%
$XLY -1.00%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLB $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $IGV $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Materials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: From tight setups, market due a pullback, strong stocks may just consolidate

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: War related & bear flags

Should I be trading: Yes, EPs WSS SoS

$KMX short

Faded the gap up and entered when closed below declining 10EMA with MACD confirmation with SL at 49.50 HOD.

Scaled 50% at 39.20 & another at 50% at 39. Left runner on and moved SL to break even.

Catalyst:

Results on 14/04/2026 showed net margins cut in half from 1.8% to 0.9% in a low margin business.

Gross margins and vehicle profit per unit are declining.

This is a low-margin business getting worse, not better.

SA 23/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 8

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – High buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 55 cooled off but still elevated

Stocks above 40PMA: 60%

VIX: 19

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

$TLT Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$TAN +4.30%
$SMH +2.62%
$IGV +2.38%
$XLK +2.20%
$XLE +1.20%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -3.25%
$IYT -2.33%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Retail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related or scalps

Should I be trading: Yes, overbought conditions eased with 20% study back below 100

SA 22/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 7

Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 65 cooled off but still elevated end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 59%

VIX: 20

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$HACK +1.59%
$XLE +1.45%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$JETS -2.90%
$XLU -1.75%
$TAN -1.57%
$KRE -1.43%
$XLI -1.41%
$XLV -1.02%
$IBB -1.01%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLY $XLK
Lagging – $XLE $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $IYT
Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 78k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Metals, Retail

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, overbought conditions eased with 20% study back below 100