Catalyst / setup – Gapping up 18% at the open on fair results set against a low bar, targets had been cut aggressively in the weeks leading up to the results.
Gapped up into the 50sma entered once rejected with a tight SL of 7 cents.
Result – Closed, scaled 50% @ 10.91 and another 50% @ 10.80 and runner got stopped for a small loss. 327% profit.
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – normal selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -28
Stocks above 40PMA: 51
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 205
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9 and WSS main focus with a strong CAT, busy week or so with mag7 reporting, AI trade will likely follow what the big tech companies say about CAPEX spending etc.
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -21
Stocks above 40PMA: 51
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 231
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: cHOPPY
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9 and WSS main focus, first of the mag 7 earnings today with $GOOG after the bell, AI trade will likely follow what the big tech companies say about CAPEX spending etc.
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – normal selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -37
Stocks above 40PMA: 49
VIX: 19
52 week highs (US common stocks): 180
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Bearish
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes
Should I be trading: WSS will be my main focus and anything in EP9 ot Sugarbaby scans with an outstanding catalyst. We are day 2 into an overall bearish market phase on all indicies ETFs are in downtrends.
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 16
Stocks above 40PMA: 54
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 252
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: Downtrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: Downtrend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$JETS +1.30%
$TAN +1.22%
$KRE +1.04%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$HACK -2.67%
$XTL -2.06%
$SMH -1.59%
$JETS -1.19%
$XLK -1.11%
$XLU -1.03%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLB $XLP
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $SMH
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, less is more in these conditions, earnings season is getting into full swing no so will offer some opportunities.
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: 7
Stocks above 40PMA: 52%
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 199
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: Downtrend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$HACK +4.58%
$TAN +3.78%
$SMH +2.51%
$XLK +1.29%
$IGV +1.00%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$XLV -1.93%
$XLP -1.38%
$JETS -1.19%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLE $XLP
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $TLT
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 65k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, less is more in these conditions, earnings season is getting into full swing no so will offer some opportunities.
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – High selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -1
Stocks above 40PMA: 53%
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 199
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: Downtrend
$BTC: No trend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$XLE +3.01%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$SMH -4.16%
$TAN -3.35%
$JETS -2.71%
$XLK -2.42%
$XTL -1.93%
$IBB -1.31%
$XLY -1.02%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLE $XLB
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $TLT
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure Supercycle — Chips, Memory & Power
Broad chip exposure; 0.35% ER; top-10 includes AMD/AVGO/MU/TSM/NVDA
—
PSI
Invesco Semiconductors ETF
ETF — Equal-weight semis
ETF
+104%
Momentum/quality factor tilt; overweight memory/equipment vs SMH
—
DRAM
Roundhill Memory ETF
ETF — Memory-focused
ETF
High
SK Hynix, Micron, SanDisk concentrated play on HBM cycle
—
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to the high teens but expecting to conditions remain choppy. Less is more in these conditions, banks start reporting today before the open and the CPI report which will likely dictate the market today.
Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – normal buying pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -15
Stocks above 40PMA: 50%
VIX: 16
52 week highs (US common stocks): 239
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: No trend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: No trend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$HACK +2.78%
$SMH +2.48%
$XTL +2.23%
$XLK +2.18%
$JETS +1.95%
$IYT +1.84%
$KRE +1.79%
$IGV +1.51%
$TAN +1.50%
$XLY +1.34%
$XLF +1.04%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$XLP -1.41%
$XLE -1.40%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLF
Lagging – $XLE $XLB
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $IGV
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 64k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech South Korea China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure & Power Supercycle — Top 15 + ETFs
All-time high April 24; 30-stock index; more equal-weighted than SMH
—
DTCR
Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF
ETF — Data Center REITs + Infrastructure
—
+28%
EQIX, DLR, VRT, ANET holdings; direct AI factory infrastructure exposure
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to the high teens but expecting to conditions remain choppy. Less is more in these conditions, earnings season starting soon which should help find direction & some good setups.
Yesterdays market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure
TC2000 McClellan: -40
Stocks above 40PMA: 48%
VIX: 17
52 week highs (US common stocks): 195
Seasonality: July in a midterm year tends to be choppy-to-soft rather than the seasonally strong July you’d see in other cycle years — it’s typically still inside the corrective phase, with the actual bottom more often forming in the August–October window, just ahead of the midterm elections themselves.
Indices:
$SOXX Downtrend
$QQQ: Downtrend
$SPY: Uptrend
$DIA: No trend
$IWM: No trend
$BTC: Uptrend
$SQQQ: No trend
$UVIX: Downtrend
$TLT: Downtrend
$GLD: No trend
$SLV: No trend
$SLX: Downtrend
1%+ sectors yesterday:
$SMH +1.99%
$XLE +1.76%
$XLK +1.24%
$XTL +1.03%
1%- sectors yesterday:
$XLB -2.62%
$KRE -2.30%
$JETS -2.21%
$XLF -1.93%
$XLY -1.78%
$IGV -1.75%
$XLV -1.30%
$TAN -1.22%
$XLI -1.07%
Main sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $IBB $XLV
Lagging – $XLE $XLK
Sub sectors monthly trailing:
Leading – $HACK $JETS
Lagging – $TAN $IGV
Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 63k ish
Themes:
Semiconductors Cybersecurity Biotech South Korea China Tech Small caps Cloud Computing Emerging Markets Software Memory
Top 15 + 15 thematic stocks:
AI Infrastructure & Power Supercycle — Top 15 + ETFs
All-time high April 24; 30-stock index; more equal-weighted than SMH
—
DTCR
Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF
ETF — Data Center REITs + Infrastructure
—
+28%
EQIX, DLR, VRT, ANET holdings; direct AI factory infrastructure exposure
What type of market are we in: Choppy
Are breakouts working: No
Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No
Should I be trading: EP9’s & Sugarbabys with catalysts, the 20% study has pulled back to the 20s but expecting to conditions remain choppy. Less is more in these conditions, earnings season starting soon which should help find direction.