SA 16/04/2026

Overall market trend: Bullish phase – day 4

Yesterdays market: Money entering the market – Normal buying pressure

TC2000 McClellan: 88 high end of range

Stocks above 40PMA: 56%

VIX: 18

Seasonality: April is typically a strong month

Indices:

$QQQ: Uptrend

$IWM: Uptrend

$SPY: Uptrend

$DIA: Uptrend

$BTC: Uptrend

$SQQQ: Downtrend

$UVIX: Downtrend

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL +3.55%
  • $HACK +2.40%
  • $IYT +1.70%
  • $IGV +1.66%
  • $XLE +1.47%
  • $XLK +1.14%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN -1.50%
  • $JETS -1.44%
  • $IBB -1.06%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLF $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLV $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $IYT
  • Lagging – $TLT $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 75k ish

Themes: Semis, Tech, Financials

Are breakouts likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: Yes but expect some backfill / consolidation

Are breakdowns likely to work for the next 3 – 5 days: No, unless war related

Should I be trading: Yes, but stocks up +20% in 5 days is over 100, anything over 100 is considered frothy so expect some kind of pullback

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