SA 14/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Choppy

TC2000 McClellan: Approaching bullish -54

Stocks above 40PMA: 30%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH 4.43%
  • $TAN 3.05%
  • $XTL 2.99%
  • $KRE 2.19%
  • $HACK 1.86%
  • $JETS 1.73%
  • $XLK 2.44%
  • $XLY 2.33%
  • $XLB 1.59%
  • $XLE 1.36%
  • $XLI 1.04%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLU ($XLK replaces $IBB)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP ($XLP replaces $XLB)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Probably

Should I be trading: No expecting sideways action after Fridays big sell off

SA 13/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

TC2000 McClellan: Approaching bullish -128

Stocks above 40PMA: 26%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $TLT 1.61%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • $SMH-5.76%
  • $TAN -5.45%
  • $XTL -4.58%
  • $KRE -4.38%
  • $XLK -4.07%
  • $HACK -3.28%
  • $IYT -3.18%
  • $XLE -2.89%
  • $XLY -2.75%
  • $JETS -2.5%
  • $XLI -2.21%
  • $XLF -2.18%
  • $XLB -2.05%
  • $XLV -1.44%
  • $RTH -1.39%
  • $IBB -1.38%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLU
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLE

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: No expecting sideways action after Fridays big sell off

SA 10/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money enterinh the market

20% study: High 70’s

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -65

Stocks above 40PMA: 36% (-5% from 08/10/2025)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN 3.03%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLI -1.48%
  • $XLB -1.37%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLK ($IBB replacing $XLU)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP no change

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN no change
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE no change

Are breakouts likely to work: Yes

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus

SA 08/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

20% study: Just below 100 indicating elevated

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -41

Stocks above 40PMA: 41% (-5%)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLY -1.75%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLU no change
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP no change

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN no change
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE no change

Are breakouts likely to work: Expect more failures market running hot with 20% near 100

Are breakdowns likely to work: Potentially

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus

SA 07/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

20% study: 100+ indicating extended

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -1

Stocks above 40PMA: 46%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL 2.17%
  • $IYT 1.48%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLU ($XLU replaced $IBB)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP no change

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN no change
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE no change

Are breakouts likely to work: Expect more failures market running hot with 20% at 100+

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus

SA 03/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -12

Stocks above 40PMA: 49%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $XLU 1.16%
  • $XLV 1.14%
  • $KRE 1%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $IBB
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Are breakouts likely to work: Yes

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus

SA 02/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -25

Stocks above 40PMA: 47% (no change)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN 3.32%
  • $XTL 1.59%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLB -1.05%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $IBB (no change)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: EP9 will be focus

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: Yes according to trading plan

SA 01/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -27

Stocks above 40PMA: 47% (-1%)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS -1.60%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $IBB ($IBB replaces $XLY)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: EP9 will be focus

Are breakdowns likely to work: Short 1 – 2 days may work

Should I be trading: Top EP9’s only

SA 30/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -38

Stocks above 40PMA: 48% (-3%)

Seasonality: Typically fairly weak until the end of October

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $IBB 1.03%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE -1.84%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLY ($XLY replaces $XLE)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: EP9 will be focus

Are breakdowns likely to work: Quick scalps nothing longer term

Should I be trading: Top EP9’s only

SA 29/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -30

Stocks above 40PMA: 51%

Seasonality: Typically fairly weak until the end of October

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $XLU 1.63%
  • $XLY 1.48%
  • $IBB 1.36%
  • $XLB 1.16%
  • $XLV 1.02%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLE
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $HACK
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Are breakouts working: Mixed

Are breakdowns working: Mixed

Should I be trading: Trade according to plan taking only the best trades.