SA 03/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -12

Stocks above 40PMA: 49%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $XLU 1.16%
  • $XLV 1.14%
  • $KRE 1%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $IBB
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Are breakouts likely to work: Yes

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus

SA 02/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -25

Stocks above 40PMA: 47% (no change)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN 3.32%
  • $XTL 1.59%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLB -1.05%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $IBB (no change)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: EP9 will be focus

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: Yes according to trading plan

SA 01/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -27

Stocks above 40PMA: 47% (-1%)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $JETS -1.60%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $IBB ($IBB replaces $XLY)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: EP9 will be focus

Are breakdowns likely to work: Short 1 – 2 days may work

Should I be trading: Top EP9’s only

SA 30/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -38

Stocks above 40PMA: 48% (-3%)

Seasonality: Typically fairly weak until the end of October

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $IBB 1.03%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE -1.84%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLY ($XLY replaces $XLE)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: EP9 will be focus

Are breakdowns likely to work: Quick scalps nothing longer term

Should I be trading: Top EP9’s only

SA 29/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -30

Stocks above 40PMA: 51%

Seasonality: Typically fairly weak until the end of October

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $XLU 1.63%
  • $XLY 1.48%
  • $IBB 1.36%
  • $XLB 1.16%
  • $XLV 1.02%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLE
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $HACK
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Are breakouts working: Mixed

Are breakdowns working: Mixed

Should I be trading: Trade according to plan taking only the best trades.

SA 26/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

TC2000 McClellan: Deteriorating -87

Stocks above 40PMA: 46% (-6%)

Seasonality: Weak, this week is typically one of the weakest weeks in the year.

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $IBB -1.81%
  • $XLY -1.41%
  • $XLB -1.30%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLE ($XLE replaces $XLY)
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN ($TAN replaces $HACK)
  • Lagging – $JETS $KRE ($KRE replaces $IYT)

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Quick 1 day shorts probably

Should I be trading: Typically for my style no

SA 25/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money coming in to the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -52

Stocks above 40PMA: 52% (-1%)

Seasonality: Weak, this week is typically one of the weakest weeks in the year.

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN +2.31%
  • $XLE +1.30%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL -1.96%
  • $JETS -1.36%
  • $XLB -1.22%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLY (no change)
  • Lagging – $XLP $XLB (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $HACK (no change)
  • Lagging – $IYT $JETS

Are breakouts likely to work: Mixed

Are breakdowns likely to work: Mixed

Should I be trading: I would only take outstanding setups this week based on seasonality

SA 24/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money coming in to the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -34

Stocks above 40PMA: 54% (+1%)

Seasonality: Weak, this week is typically one of the weakest weeks in the year.

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN -3.46%
  • $HACK -1.04%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLY (no change)
  • Lagging – $XLP $XLB ($XLU replaced by $XLB)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $HACK (no change)
  • Lagging – $JETS $IYT $ ($RTH replaced by $JETS)

Are breakouts likely to work: Mixed

Are breakdowns likely to work: Mixed

Should I be trading: I would only take outstanding setups this week based on seasonality

SA 23/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money coming in to the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -33

Stocks above 40PMA: 53% (-1%)

Seasonality: Weak, this week is typically one of the weakest weeks in the year.

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $TAN – 1.67%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLY ($XLY replaced $XLE)
  • Lagging – $XLP $XLU (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $HACK (Replaced $TAN $KRE)
  • Lagging – $RTH $IYT ($JETS replaced by $RTH)

Are breakouts likely to work: Mixed

Are breakdowns likely to work: Mixed

Should I be trading: I would only take outstanding setups this week based on seasonality

SA 22/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -37

Stocks above 40PMA: 54%

Seasonality: Weak, this week is typically one of the weakest weeks in the year

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $XLK – 1.01%

1%- sectors Friday:

  • $XLE -1.33%
  • $KRE -1.25%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLK $XLY
  • Lagging – $XLP $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $TAN $SMH
  • Lagging – $JETS $IYT

Are breakouts working: Mixed

Are breakdowns working: Mixed

Should I be trading: Trade according to plan taking only the best trades. Crypto getting hit so far today suggesting maybe moving risk off for this typically weak week.