2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral 42

Stocks above 40PMA: 35%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$JETS 2.53%
$KRE 2.49%
$HACK 1.68%
$IBB 1.49%
$TAN 1.46%
$IYT 1.45%
$SMH 1.28%
$XLB 1.19%
$XLI 1.18%
$XLF 1.17%
$XTL 1.14%
XLK 1.12%
$XLV 1.06%
$XLE 1.06%

1%- sectors yesterday:

None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $IBB $XLU
Lagging – $XLE $XLF

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Bitcoin: Back testing 200sma at 108k’ish

Are breakouts likely to work: Strong catalysts EP9

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: Expecting choppy action for a few weeks moves driven by Trump & earnings

SA 20/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -19

Stocks above 40PMA: 30%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors Friday:

$XLP 1.33%
$KRE 1.60%

1%- sectors Friday:

$TAN -3.06%
$XTL -1.25%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $IBB $XLU
Lagging – $XLE $XLF

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Bitcoin: Bouncing back above 200 sma at $111,300

Are breakouts likely to work: Strong catalysts

Are breakdowns likely to work: Maybe

Should I be trading: Stocks trying to recover after regional banks $KRE expecting choppy action for a few weeks

SA 17/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -35

Stocks above 40PMA: 29%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

None

1%- sectors yesterday:

$TAN -4.23%
$JETS -2.31%
$KRE -2.13%
$SMH -2.11%
$XTL -1.95%
$XLK -1.54%
$HACK -1.50%
$XLF -1.16%
$IBB -1.15%
$RTH -1.15%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLU $IBB
Lagging – $XLE $XLF

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $KRE $JETS

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Yes

Should I be trading: Volatility increasing whole market got hit on $KRE worries of poor loans by a number of banks

SA 16/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money coming into the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral 12

Stocks above 40PMA: 35%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$IBB 1.37%
$SMH 1.18%
$TAN 1.0%

1%- sectors yesterday:

None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLU $IBB
Lagging – $XLE $XLY

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $TAN $SMH
Lagging – $KRE $RTH

Are breakouts likely to work: Strong catalysts yes

Are breakdowns likely to work: Maybe

Should I be trading: Volatility increasing will create opportunities for EP9s with strong catalysts

SA 15/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money coming into the market

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -3

Stocks above 40PMA: 36%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$JETS 3.17%
$SMH 2.49%
$IYT 1.43%
$XTL 1.29%
$TAN 1.23%
$XLK 1.14%
$RTH 1.03%
$XLB 1.00%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$HACK -1.46%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $IBB $XLU
Lagging – $XLY $XLB

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Are breakouts likely to work: Strong catalysts yes

Are breakdowns likely to work: Maybe

Should I be trading: Volatility increasing will create opportunities for EP9s with strong catalysts

SA 14/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Choppy

TC2000 McClellan: Approaching bullish -54

Stocks above 40PMA: 30%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$SMH 4.43%
$TAN 3.05%
$XTL 2.99%
$KRE 2.19%
$HACK 1.86%
$JETS 1.73%
$XLK 2.44%
$XLY 2.33%
$XLB 1.59%
$XLE 1.36%
$XLI 1.04%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLU ($XLK replaces $IBB)
Lagging – $XLB $XLP ($XLP replaces $XLB)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN (no change)
Lagging – $JETS $KRE (no change)

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Probably

Should I be trading: No expecting sideways action after Fridays big sell off

SA 13/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

TC2000 McClellan: Approaching bullish -128

Stocks above 40PMA: 26%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors Friday:

$TLT 1.61%

1%- sectors Friday:

$SMH-5.76%
$TAN -5.45%
$XTL -4.58%
$KRE -4.38%
$XLK -4.07%
$HACK -3.28%
$IYT -3.18%
$XLE -2.89%
$XLY -2.75%
$JETS -2.5%
$XLI -2.21%
$XLF -2.18%
$XLB -2.05%
$XLV -1.44%
$RTH -1.39%
$IBB -1.38%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $IBB $XLU
Lagging – $XLB $XLE

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN
Lagging – $JETS $KRE

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: No expecting sideways action after Fridays big sell off

SA 10/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money enterinh the market

20% study: High 70’s

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -65

Stocks above 40PMA: 36% (-5% from 08/10/2025)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$TAN 3.03%

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLI -1.48%
$XLB -1.37%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $IBB $XLK ($IBB replacing $XLU)
Lagging – $XLB $XLP no change

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN no change
Lagging – $JETS $KRE no change

Are breakouts likely to work: Yes

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus

SA 08/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market

20% study: Just below 100 indicating elevated

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -41

Stocks above 40PMA: 41% (-5%)

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

None

1%- sectors yesterday:

$XLY -1.75%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLU no change
Lagging – $XLB $XLP no change

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN no change
Lagging – $JETS $KRE no change

Are breakouts likely to work: Expect more failures market running hot with 20% near 100

Are breakdowns likely to work: Potentially

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus

SA 07/10/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market

20% study: 100+ indicating extended

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -1

Stocks above 40PMA: 46%

Seasonality: Typically choppy until the end of Oct

1%+ sectors yesterday:

$XTL 2.17%
$IYT 1.48%

1%- sectors yesterday:

None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $XLK $XLU ($XLU replaced $IBB)
Lagging – $XLB $XLP no change

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

Leading – $SMH $TAN no change
Lagging – $JETS $KRE no change

Are breakouts likely to work: Expect more failures market running hot with 20% at 100+

Are breakdowns likely to work: No

Should I be trading: EP9 main focus