SA 18/12/2025

Overall market: Bearish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market – high selling pressure

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -6

Stocks above 40PMA: 50%

Seasonality: Typically strong

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE +2.21%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH -3.61%
  • $XTL -3.24%
  • $XLK -2.22%
  • $HACK -2.21%
  • $XLI -1.62%
  • $JETS -1.53%
  • $XLY -1.16%
  • $TAN -1.13%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLF $XLB
  • Lagging – $XLK $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $KRE $JETS
  • Lagging – $HACK $TAN

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 87k ish

Themes: Metals, Bio, Healthcare, Transports, Financials, Regional banks

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Yes

Should I be trading: Weak structure shorts

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