SA 19/11/2025

Overall market: Bearish phase

Short term market: Neutral

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -66

Stocks above 40PMA: 29%

Seasonality: Typically strong but very weak currently

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH +1.85%
  • $KRE +1.06%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLE -1.30%
  • $TAN -1.24%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLV
  • Lagging – $XLY $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $TAN $KRE
  • Lagging – $HACK $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 92k ish

Themes: Quality earnings, Metals, Semis, Memory

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Breaking down from flags

Should I be trading: No, will see how the markets react to the positive $NVDA earnings, will be a good tell as to where we are.

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