SA 12/11/2025

Overall market: Bearish phase

Short term market: Money entering the market – normal buying & selling pressure yesterday

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral 45

Stocks above 40PMA: 42%

Seasonality: Typically strong

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $IBB 2.88%
  • $XLV 2.31%
  • $XLP 1.31%
  • $XLE 1.31%
  • $XLB 1.04%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $SMH -2.16%
  • $TAN -191.%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLE
  • Lagging – $XLU $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $TAN $SMH
  • Lagging – $TLT $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 104k’ish

Themes: AI, Metals, Crypto, Semis, Memory, Data centres, Quantum, Clean energy

Are breakouts likely to work: Maybe

Are breakdowns likely to work: Extended stocks

Should I be trading: Not looking to add any exposure at the moment unless exceptional CAT

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