SA 10/11/2025

Overall market: Bearish

Short term market: Money entering the market – high buying pressure on Friday

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -4

Stocks above 40PMA: 36%

Seasonality: Strongest 6 months typically start around now

1%+ sectors Friday:

  • $SMH 2.54%
  • $JETS 2.19%
  • $XLK 1.84%
  • $XLP 1.47%
  • $XLU 1.39%
  • $IYT 1.38%
  • $XLB 1.20%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • None

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLE
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $TAN $SMH
  • Lagging – $KRE $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 106k’ish

Themes: AI, Nuclear, Crypto, Semis, Memory, Data centres, Quantum, Clean energy

Are breakouts likely to work: Maybe

Are breakdowns likely to work: Extended stocks

Should I be trading: Market had a flush on Friday and now trying to bounce, could be a bounce in a bigger move down or back to test ATH’s running into Christmas. Will see how things play out before taking any more positions.

Leave a comment