SA 05/11/2025

Overall market: Bearish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market (very high selling pressure)

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -61

Stocks above 40PMA: 28%

Seasonality: Strongest 6 months typically starts now

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL -3.37%
  • $JETS -3.31%
  • $HACK -2.56%
  • $TAN -2.46%
  • $XLY -1.66%
  • $IYT -1.37%
  • $XLI -1.16%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLF

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN
  • Lagging – $KRE $JETS

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 102k’ish

Themes: AI, Nuclear, Crypto, Semis, Memory, Data centres, Quantum

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Yes

Should I be trading: No, big breadth thrust to the downside & 1st bearish phase since May, wait for things to settle or an extreme flush.

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