SA 04/11/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money leaving the market (starting to cluster)

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -36

Stocks above 40PMA: 31%

Seasonality: Strongest 6 months typically starts now

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • None

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL -1.76%
  • $IBB -1.20%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $IBB $XLK
  • Lagging – $XLB $XLP

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $SMH $TAN
  • Lagging – $KRE $HACK

Bitcoin: Under the 200sma at 104k’ish

Themes: AI, Nuclear, Crypto, Semis, Memory, Data centres, Quantum

Are breakouts likely to work: No

Are breakdowns likely to work: Yes

Should I be trading: Choppy conditions expected for remainder of earnings season so will be highly selective if taking any new longs.

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