SA 18/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Neutral

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -38

Stocks above 40PMA: 54% (-1%)

Seasonality: Weak, September typically weakest of the year, especially 2nd half, next week is typically one of the weakest weeks in the year

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $KRE – 1.19%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $IYT -1.34%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLE (no change)
  • Lagging – $XLP $XLU (no change)

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $TAN $KRE ($TLT replaced by $KRE)
  • Lagging – $IYT $JETS

Are breakouts working: Mixed

Are breakdowns working: Mixed

Should I be trading: FOMC cut rates by the expected 0.25% no fireworks as priced in. Trade according to plan.

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