SA 16/09/2025

Overall market: Bullish phase

Short term market: Money coming in

TC2000 McClellan: Neutral -22

Stocks above 40PMA: 57% (-1%)

Seasonality: Weak, September typically weakest of the year, especially 2nd half

1%+ sectors yesterday:

  • $XTL 1.87%
  • $TAN 1.36%

1%- sectors yesterday:

  • $XLP -1.15%

Main sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $XLY $XLE
  • Lagging – $XLP $XLU

Sub sectors monthly trailing:

  • Leading – $TAN $JETS
  • Lagging – $RTH $TLT

Are breakouts working: Mixed

Are breakdowns working: Mixed

Should I be trading: Fed day tomorrow market likely quiet until the outcome of the meeting. Expected 0.25% interest cut, already priced in so the commentary will probably drive the markets eg. expecting X amount of rate cuts for the rest of 2025.

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